NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26a2a6bda3dcda2750a7b022cb63350b23f1813c6da6ee1ef8f086539b5380b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vikingsof Packers, Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,183,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,315,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,183,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Packers | 18c | 599,999$106,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106,103.04 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Packers | 19c | 194,893$37,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,133.01 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f11…5a95backed Packers | 22c | 104,960$22,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,600 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…733abacked Packers | 10c | 103,450$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200.47 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Packers | 19c | 78,936$14,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,905.35 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Packers | 17c | 75,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Vikings | 79c | 70,117$55,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,461.38 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0886backed Packers | 2c | 67,250$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.95 | 151 | 32.5%49 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Packers | 19c | 43,154$8,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,142.02 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Vikings | 79c | 40,985$32,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,726.85 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Vikings | 80c | 26,935$21,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,386.93 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Vikings | 79c | 23,059$18,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,901.11 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Packers | 13c | 19,969$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.12 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Packers | 20c | 18,128$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.23 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vikings | 80c | 16,016$12,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.91 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…7a99backed Packers | 20c | 16,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Packers | 17c | 14,999$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc946…1825backed Packers | 19c | 12,844$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…faebbacked Packers | 13c | 11,634$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.96 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Packers | 12c | 10,904$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.81 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…4b7cbacked Packers | 2c | 10,751$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Packers | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…5e92backed Packers | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Packers | 0c | 9,728$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2147…f935backed Packers | 21c | 8,615$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3b…10eebacked Packers | 25c | 7,784$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.97 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Vikings | 74c | 7,222$5,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.54 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Packers | 20c | 7,140$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Packers | 2c | 6,062$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed Packers | 18c | 5,944$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Vikings | 78c | 5,517$4,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Packers | 18c | 5,359$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.51 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Packers | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc29e…a2cabacked Packers | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Packers | 0c | 4,844$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 98 | 0%0 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Packers | 8c | 4,767$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.3 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Packers | 18c | 4,494$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.85 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Packers | 8c | 4,431$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.48 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Vikings | 78c | 4,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Vikings | 79c | 3,983$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.97 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Packers | 0c | 3,871$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…1d25backed Packers | 22c | 3,766$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Vikings | 79c | 3,437$2,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Vikings | 79c | 3,301$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.1 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Packers | 18c | 3,278$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.28 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Vikings | 78c | 3,111$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Vikings | 80c | 3,087$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Packers | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Packers | 9c | 2,942$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x714c…f68dbacked Packers | 23c | 2,900$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c69…7c46backed Packers | 20c | 2,878$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Vikings | 80c | 2,875$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…5b3ebacked Packers | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Packers | 22c | 2,390$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.21 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…0b5fbacked Packers | 18c | 2,349$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.77 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Packers | 2c | 2,167$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.01 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Vikings | 80c | 2,102$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.66 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…c3b5backed Packers | 13c | 2,070$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Packers | 24c | 2,005$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…975abacked Packers | 23c | 1,938$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…ce4cbacked Packers | 3c | 1,915$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83a…6bfcbacked Packers | 7c | 1,902$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Vikings | 79c | 1,900$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Vikings | 79c | 1,735$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Packers | 12c | 1,726$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked Packers | 17c | 1,682$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.92 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a5…3958backed Packers | 3c | 1,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Packers | 3c | 1,600$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a3…9b79backed Vikings | 75c | 1,515$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…01c6backed Packers | 9c | 1,495$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Packers | 4c | 1,404$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Packers | 13c | 1,350$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Packers | 17c | 1,319$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.23 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Packers | 16c | 1,316$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.22 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Vikings | 80c | 1,294$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.81 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…87c5backed Packers | 23c | 1,287$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Packers | 3c | 1,209$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Vikings | 76c | 1,207$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.82 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Packers | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…59b4backed Packers | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Packers | 3c | 1,146$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Packers | 10c | 1,096$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Packers | 21c | 1,093$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.57 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x203b…acd1backed Packers | 19c | 1,063$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3202…e019backed Packers | 10c | 1,061$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Packers | 5c | 1,004$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Packers | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Packers | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Packers | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…1cc2backed Packers | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa537…8e4abacked Packers | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Packers | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65d2…84e1backed Vikings | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…42b4backed Packers | 24c | 991.5$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…ff55backed Packers | 16c | 988.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Packers | 20c | 960.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…3f81backed Packers | 24c | 950$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.5 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…753ebacked Packers | 5c | 922.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Packers | 12c | 914.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…4dbbbacked Packers | 14c | 899.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Vikingsthis page
- 1H Spread: Vikings (-6.5)Vikings won
- Packers vs. Vikings: 1H MoneylineVikings won
- Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 25.5Under won
- Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 35.5Under won
- Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 36.5Under won
- Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 37.5Under won
- Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-10.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-11.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-12.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-13.5)Packers won
- Spread: Vikings (-14.5)Packers won
- Spread: Vikings (-4.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-6.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-7.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-8.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-9.5)Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.