TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Vikings (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Vikingsof Vikings, Packers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,832
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,832 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb552…94a8backed Vikings53c882$471 inWon+$410.849447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Packers46c644.79$299 inLost-$299.271,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Packers40c600$240 inLost-$24065048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Vikings60c342.85$204 inWon+$138.647348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Packers47c200$94 inLost-$947352.1%38 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Packers28c159.2$44 inLost-$44.1729439.5%116 W · 178 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x128a…bd2abacked Vikings73c135.62$99 inWon+$36.621643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Vikings61c131.15$80 inWon+$51.159641.7%40 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a3…a380backed Packers30c109$33 inLost-$32.71540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Packers27c104.62$28 inLost-$28.2519439.2%76 W · 118 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Vikings61c100$61 inWon+$397750.6%39 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Vikings69c100$69 inWon+$3112447.6%59 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0316…e283backed Vikings60c71$43 inWon+$28.41866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+77.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc623…aebabacked Packers36c67.25$24 inLost-$24.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Packers39c40$16 inLost-$15.612756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Packers31c34.5$11 inLost-$10.716045%72 W · 88 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Packers33c31.69$10 inLost-$10.3434247.4%162 W · 180 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7814…eb75backed Vikings70c28.45$20 inWon+$8.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ed…53f7backed Vikings70c28$20 inWon+$8.41070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked Vikings70c27$19 inWon+$8.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc17…53b6backed Vikings70c22$15 inWon+$6.61060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ad2…d17fbacked Vikings70c21$15 inWon+$6.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdee3…7b2ebacked Vikings72c16$12 inWon+$4.48988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick59cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.