NFL · resolved market
Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29566f033da93f3ea5883d666d673931e078cea5c5712d636488fbd2fd9b0027
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Over | 55c | 45,702$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.3wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 11,826$5,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,503.95 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 10,779$4,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,861.21 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,500 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 1,715$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.48 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 1,300$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.99 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 1,203$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.72 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 803.88$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.09 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +12.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 46c | 401.36$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.74 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 51c | 390.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Over | 54c | 370.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 308$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +15.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 45c | 240$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 45c | 240$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Over | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 45c | 180$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +16.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 48c | 83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 45c | 80$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 47c | 67.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…2783backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +15.3wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…5487backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +16.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +12.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +14.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 101 | 61.4%62 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +11.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa709…8d1dbacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 19c | 54.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 342 | 47.4%162 W · 180 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…2a14backed Under | 49c | 48.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…7fecbacked Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Under | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…ab22backed Over | 52c | 21.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…6181backed Under | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 36.5this page
- 1H Spread: Vikings (-6.5)Vikings won
- Packers vs. VikingsVikings won
- Packers vs. Vikings: 1H MoneylineVikings won
- Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 25.5Under won
- Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 35.5Under won
- Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 37.5Under won
- Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 44.5Under won
- Spread: Packers (-1.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-10.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-11.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-12.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-13.5)Packers won
- Spread: Vikings (-14.5)Packers won
- Spread: Vikings (-4.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-6.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-7.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-8.5)Vikings won
- Spread: Vikings (-9.5)Vikings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.