TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Packers vs. Vikings: O/U 37.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,584
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,679

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,584 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under52c818.55$426 inWon+$392.91,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Over48c556.25$267 inLost-$2672142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Over50c427.29$213 inLost-$212.958839.8%35 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Under53c415.09$220 inWon+$195.093554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under53c400$210 inWon+$19065048.3%314 W · 336 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c257.17$121 inLost-$120.871,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over48c250$120 inLost-$12059453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Over48c200$96 inLost-$969442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9386…cfe5backed Under53c100$53 inWon+$476149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Over48c55$26 inLost-$26.42250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over47c43.99$21 inLost-$20.6834652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x476c…ce52backed Over47c40$19 inLost-$18.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+39.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under51c40$20 inWon+$19.61838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-33%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Over47c36.2$17 inLost-$17.013043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7567…0923backed Over48c35$17 inLost-$16.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under51c29.68$15 inWon+$14.5420944.5%93 W · 116 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c4…a93bbacked Under52c24$12 inWon+$11.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.