TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b55…01c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT8134.6%28 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.27
Cavaliers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Wizards vs. Warriorsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$20.03
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Rockets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bucks vs. Clippersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.61
Nets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+227.4%+$136.43
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$51.77
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Thunder vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$33.26
Warriors vs. Knicksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+752.2%+$150.45
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+457.1%+$91.42
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Hobart International: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierrabacked Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+131.5%+$609.83
Adelaide International: Jaqueline Cristian vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$301.04
Adelaide International: Paula Badosa vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Hobart International: Katie Volynets vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+670.1%+$804.15
Open de Moselle: Matteo Berrettini vs Learner Tienbacked Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Hellenic Championship: Alexandre Muller vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anna Blinkovabacked Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Chennai Open: Kimberly Birrell vs Shrivalli Bhamidipatybacked Bhamidipaty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.13
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Eudice Chongbacked Chong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Guangzhou Open: Katie Volynets vs Shuai Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+106.4%+$42.55
Pan Pacific Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Sofia Keninbacked Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+88%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Massie names Epstein clients by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+900%+$90
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+265%+$172.24
All 11 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Vikingsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$142
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+150%+$30
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$26.89
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US forces enter Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+566.7%+$113.33
Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+108.1%+$54.07
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-77.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Colorado State Ramsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.18
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.27
SMU Mustangs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Wofford Terriers vs. Mercer Bearsbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked New Hampshire Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10.77
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sharks vs. Senatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Sabres vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Boise State vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.