Tennis · resolved market
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Himeno Sakatsume vs Eudice Chong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51822f0200b33878a7fbec6328b2b9f8280f1183c865ebd629dd10a5fe4cdf40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sakatsumeof Sakatsume, Chong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sakatsume | 71c | 2,089$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…79dfbacked Chong | 31c | 1,929$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sakatsume | 77c | 1,559$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.7 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Chong | 13c | 1,478$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Chong | 32c | 999$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.68 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Chong | 15c | 830.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.7 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Chong | 40c | 748.6$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.99 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc710…17a6backed Chong | 17c | 574$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c4…83debacked Chong | 17c | 534$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25cf…3cdbbacked Chong | 17c | 486$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…20e1backed Chong | 8c | 399.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…cda9backed Chong | 18c | 223.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee3a…01babacked Chong | 11c | 205.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Chong | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Sakatsume | 59c | 191.08$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.34 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9f…4cc8backed Chong | 16c | 186.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sakatsume | 65c | 183.24$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Chong | 31c | 157.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Sakatsume | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…01c6backed Chong | 19c | 102.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sakatsume | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…2827backed Sakatsume | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sakatsume | 73c | 24.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.