CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x061773abbcf8f320ee30cc575efbe57eda43bf3b72ab689fd374fd479608030a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- METANOIA WOLVESof METANOIA WOLVES, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,698
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,698 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 53c | 6,149$3,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.7 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked MAGICOS | 47c | 5,944$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770.93 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…6f07backed MAGICOS | 2c | 2,328$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 54c | 2,016$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.24 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed METANOIA WOLVES | 53c | 1,750$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.68 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MAGICOS | 34c | 1,019$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.42 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MAGICOS | 48c | 749.32$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.73 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed MAGICOS | 44c | 654.41$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed MAGICOS | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked MAGICOS | 52c | 515.36$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.24 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed METANOIA WOLVES | 61c | 455.07$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.98 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed METANOIA WOLVES | 52c | 443.99$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.01 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed MAGICOS | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed MAGICOS | 44c | 379.03$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MAGICOS | 52c | 345.11$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.13 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MAGICOS | 45c | 322.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.65 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…01c6backed MAGICOS | 6c | 313.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed MAGICOS | 48c | 297.8$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.94 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked METANOIA WOLVES | 75c | 291.9$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MAGICOS | 19c | 281.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked MAGICOS | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed METANOIA WOLVES | 52c | 270$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked MAGICOS | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed METANOIA WOLVES | 56c | 234.31$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.1 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked MAGICOS | 45c | 205.21$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…e488backed MAGICOS | 49c | 202.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc14d…f137backed METANOIA WOLVES | 80c | 199.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked MAGICOS | 46c | 195.2$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…7824backed METANOIA WOLVES | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed METANOIA WOLVES | 54c | 164.64$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed MAGICOS | 48c | 163.82$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed MAGICOS | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…88ccbacked MAGICOS | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MAGICOS | 22c | 142.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 52c | 130.23$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.51 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MAGICOS | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed MAGICOS | 24c | 113$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked MAGICOS | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb89…ec39backed MAGICOS | 48c | 104.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9101…78ddbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 74c | 103.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked MAGICOS | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MAGICOS | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 52c | 95.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed MAGICOS | 40c | 93.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7f…85c3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 74c | 86.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked MAGICOS | 20c | 68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5201…0c88backed MAGICOS | 25c | 61.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed MAGICOS | 44c | 60.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked MAGICOS | 47c | 56.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed MAGICOS | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed MAGICOS | 29c | 53.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed MAGICOS | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 78c | 50.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 53c | 50.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed MAGICOS | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed MAGICOS | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed METANOIA WOLVES | 52c | 40.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked MAGICOS | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked MAGICOS | 29c | 35.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed METANOIA WOLVES | 52c | 30.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 291 | 28.5%83 W · 208 L | -30.2wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MAGICOS | 48c | 28.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed MAGICOS | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed METANOIA WOLVES | 52c | 20.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked METANOIA WOLVES | 79c | 18.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS - Map 2 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.