CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae2527fe5b15e092e10c391a82e36551fce55a9cc563da6d222a4e3ef420708
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- METANOIA WOLVESof METANOIA WOLVES, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,984 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MAGICOS | 0c | 3,393$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed MAGICOS | 49c | 1,822$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.85 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 54c | 935.2$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.55 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 51c | 453.15$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.04 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 55c | 323.52$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.47 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed MAGICOS | 48c | 299.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MAGICOS | 46c | 197.96$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.06 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed METANOIA WOLVES | 73c | 137.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…022fbacked MAGICOS | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked MAGICOS | 43c | 99.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 44 | 81.8%36 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 47c | 63.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 59c | 48.92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked METANOIA WOLVES | 67c | 47.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked MAGICOS | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed MAGICOS | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked MAGICOS | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MAGICOS | 43c | 34.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 70c | 22.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 79c | 15.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group StageMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.