Middle East · resolved market

US forces enter Iran by January 31?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6474a9916c0f51b6d16cfdb095aec5ad6a9ef46d30de4784b1a2d62ae383576

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 1, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $571,796
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $552,066

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $571,796 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x64af…a2debacked Yes	10c	40,376$4,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,231.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7c…dbbcbacked Yes	3c	23,393$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed Yes	6c	19,228$1,173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,173.03	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-50.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	5c	13,335$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$643.84	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-4.6wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f9c…7c74backed Yes	10c	10,299$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76db…11dcbacked Yes	8c	9,738$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc596…c316backed Yes	1c	8,430$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa55…306abacked Yes	6c	7,392$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.67	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	7,381$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.05	713	5.6%40 W · 673 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1604…ff0ebacked Yes	7c	6,213$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.92	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-52%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	5c	6,183$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.7	143	0.7%1 W · 142 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-92.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe971…e480backed Yes	12c	6,054$752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$752.33	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb2…83a3backed Yes	3c	6,003$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd292…8ce5backed Yes	4c	5,672$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	5c	5,389$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.31	247	6.9%17 W · 230 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fd6…6315backed Yes	8c	5,157$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.65	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes	3c	4,746$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.72	489	23.5%115 W · 374 L	-14.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…b464backed Yes	3c	4,366$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.28	64	7.8%5 W · 59 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd512…79b3backed Yes	3c	3,881$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	46	21.7%10 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes	4c	3,313$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.73	104	35.6%37 W · 67 L	+7.5wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	3c	3,220$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.13	72	1.4%1 W · 71 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38e…272bbacked Yes	6c	3,218$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.34	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf602…964ebacked Yes	8c	3,000$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9642…d2abbacked Yes	10c	2,592$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7170…0534backed Yes	10c	2,500$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.89	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd221…a44bbacked Yes	6c	2,405$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.9	54	25.9%14 W · 40 L	+4.3wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes	3c	2,272$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	40	0%0 W · 40 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4a…f323backed Yes	1c	2,242$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+81.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa44f…9b48backed Yes	7c	2,120$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.37	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db2…a781backed Yes	4c	2,089$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.92	100	43%43 W · 57 L	+13.0wins	+0.13per pick	30cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xcfca…e3e3backed Yes	2c	2,079$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.9	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a26…1b7dbacked Yes	10c	2,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	2c	1,985$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.72	238	4.6%11 W · 227 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	10cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04db…a2dcbacked Yes	10c	1,939$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…11c5backed Yes	4c	1,887$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.9	143	25.9%37 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccc…188dbacked Yes	3c	1,793$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0785…cf14backed Yes	6c	1,721$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.28	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes	2c	1,700$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	133	2.3%3 W · 130 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08b1…113fbacked Yes	9c	1,624$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2d…d003backed Yes	12c	1,615$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x63b3…6faebacked Yes	7c	1,549$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.18	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdf…adc5backed Yes	3c	1,546$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	11c	1,528$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.38	896	17.1%153 W · 743 L	-57.2wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5a6…e5dbbacked Yes	5c	1,510$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5045…4b5bbacked Yes	5c	1,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-2.7wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd95…8c17backed Yes	12c	1,500$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.14	85	38.8%33 W · 52 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+87.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes	7c	1,460$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	15.9%7 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25a9…f991backed Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe0e6…8197backed Yes	4c	1,318$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	50	14%7 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-42%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…24ffbacked Yes	2c	1,310$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.63	82	24.4%20 W · 62 L	+8.3wins	+0.10per pick	14cpaid	+64%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d44…2536backed Yes	8c	1,284$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0282…d571backed Yes	2c	1,258$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.68	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d3…fea9backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032b…2168backed Yes	4c	1,216$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf420…9989backed Yes	9c	1,216$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.76	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	5c	1,200$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.19	197	6.6%13 W · 184 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb71e…9c80backed Yes	3c	1,200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca1…0236backed Yes	3c	1,174$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f66…c4aebacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f37…b616backed Yes	10c	1,100$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96a7…9e8dbacked Yes	5c	1,087$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.44	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	3cpaid	+557.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe380…0d3bbacked Yes	9c	1,075$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e4…20d0backed Yes	3c	1,066$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce34…2bf4backed Yes	8c	1,051$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe5…a206backed Yes	10c	1,045$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda11…22b0backed Yes	6c	1,038$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.29	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb35…0f5ebacked Yes	11c	1,015$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a7…4d35backed Yes	9c	1,012$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes	3c	1,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	358	8.7%31 W · 327 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	+99.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ee…9439backed Yes	6c	1,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f57…3272backed Yes	3c	997.65$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	68	25%17 W · 51 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92c5…a375backed Yes	3c	985.86$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.91	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes	4c	975.16$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.6wins	-0.18per pick	33cpaid	-77.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed Yes	6c	969.99$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.2	165	41.2%68 W · 97 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29af…2473backed Yes	14c	966.17$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-76.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	7c	961.76$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.16	141	29.8%42 W · 99 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe413…32d3backed Yes	9c	938.33$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.4	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c0…639ebacked Yes	11c	933.63$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.69	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb56d…c9fdbacked Yes	2c	926.8$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	2c	897.29$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.86	199	5%10 W · 189 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f38…f2ebbacked Yes	4c	861.64$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f77…eeedbacked Yes	3c	857.29$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3d…9220backed Yes	7c	850$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.5	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa5ce…7b3cbacked Yes	3c	843.75$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	9cpaid	+270.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e5…bc26backed Yes	10c	839.1$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.91	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…e8d9backed Yes	6c	837.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b96…0df2backed Yes	2c	804.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	0%0 W · 30 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes	9c	795.3$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.35	70	12.9%9 W · 61 L	-6.5wins	-0.09per pick	22cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c2b…f0abbacked Yes	3c	769.44$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.81	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa554…cc4ebacked Yes	5c	744.03$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e24…70a6backed Yes	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf664…12ebbacked Yes	4c	684.65$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d18…18c3backed Yes	3c	648.33$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	40	10%4 W · 36 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2744…7855backed Yes	3c	625$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd575…6bcbbacked Yes	8c	617.22$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…6b00backed Yes	3c	604.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1b…afcfbacked Yes	8c	603.41$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.02	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54bb…59c7backed Yes	3c	598.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	164	17.7%29 W · 135 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c6…61fbbacked Yes	9c	593.33$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.4	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb74…ae29backed Yes	7c	571.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	171	28.7%49 W · 122 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

US forces enter Iran by January 31?this page
US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes won
US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes won
US forces enter Iran by February 28?No won
US forces enter Iran by March 14?No won
US forces enter Iran by March 1?No won
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No won
US forces enter Iran by March 3?No won
US forces enter Iran by March 7?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

US forces enter Iran by January 31?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event