Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
New Hampshire Wildcats vs. UMBC Retrievers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ffcb006f432a8611bc84fb85898e14ce06a8e46a812e204558f8abcfa067cb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UMBC Retrieversof New Hampshire Wildcats, UMBC Retrievers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6218…f388backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 35c | 6,014$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UMBC Retrievers | 66c | 2,885$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.15 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed UMBC Retrievers | 65c | 2,628$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.16 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UMBC Retrievers | 60c | 1,085$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.87 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 12c | 999.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 8c | 800$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 133 | 13.5%18 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 34c | 640.2$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.82 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UMBC Retrievers | 70c | 522.97$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 80c | 459.2$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.17 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 27c | 441.65$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UMBC Retrievers | 57c | 415.84$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.74 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 21c | 336.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 12c | 298.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed UMBC Retrievers | 66c | 290$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.66 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UMBC Retrievers | 77c | 270.47$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed UMBC Retrievers | 74c | 269.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 47c | 260.2$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 26c | 258.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UMBC Retrievers | 70c | 242.97$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f29…9d73backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UMBC Retrievers | 73c | 196$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 11c | 182$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 30c | 179.26$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…9813backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 42c | 173.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed UMBC Retrievers | 70c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 31c | 139.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 9c | 137$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UMBC Retrievers | 73c | 103.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…669fbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 20c | 100.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UMBC Retrievers | 65c | 95$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed UMBC Retrievers | 69c | 92.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed UMBC Retrievers | 61c | 84.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.3 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 74c | 73.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UMBC Retrievers | 53c | 61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed UMBC Retrievers | 47c | 58.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked UMBC Retrievers | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 26c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b55…01c6backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 28c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b9…64c4backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 59c | 35.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UMBC Retrievers | 73c | 32.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…1137backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4c…d80fbacked New Hampshire Wildcats | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed New Hampshire Wildcats | 62c | 27.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Hampshire Wildcats vs. UMBC Retrieversthis page
- New Hampshire Wildcats vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-6.5)New Hampshire Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.