TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hobart International: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sierraof McNally, Sierra
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,753 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2584…9160backed McNally0c14,093$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked McNally61c10,713$6,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,542.012,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sierra48c6,039$2,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,121.898,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Sierra39c4,255$1,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.2513652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed McNally1c3,669$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.482,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed McNally73c3,206$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.872,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae90…f6c8backed Sierra35c2,883$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,883.136937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked McNally58c2,620$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.147,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8049…1e6cbacked Sierra23c2,200$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.513033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked McNally49c2,030$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.512,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9981…dec4backed Sierra69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.051586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked McNally50c1,734$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.472,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Sierra17c1,725$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.411637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed McNally31c1,609$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005851.7%30 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed McNally75c1,446$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.11,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Sierra21c1,424$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.527021.4%15 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2107…8f4cbacked Sierra69c1,345$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.951421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-56.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked McNally46c1,310$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fb7…082dbacked Sierra23c1,301$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.728148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b55…01c6backed Sierra43c1,074$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.831241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Sierra48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.6759151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Sierra20c1,001$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.7510729%31 W · 76 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Sierra68c1,000$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.544038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2e6…cc3abacked McNally77c999$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.23450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x699b…db49backed Sierra19c741.1$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.761250%6 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49f4…5f4fbacked McNally68c736.02$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-55.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed McNally52c728.29$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.44057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed McNally36c675$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.892,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Sierra31c600.12$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.456046.7%28 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…b12dbacked Sierra32c562.5$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.57427%20 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50de…fff1backed Sierra65c479.89$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked McNally68c388.81$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3965558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed McNally46c358.48$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3165157.1%372 W · 279 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Sierra14c358.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.145040%20 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked McNally72c348.09$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.561442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked McNally64c343.8$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.376,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sierra22c297.52$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.551,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62a1…978abacked Sierra58c290.02$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.962147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Sierra28c284.5$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.847,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed McNally75c266.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021843.1%94 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e1…91debacked Sierra43c244.83$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.681225%3 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba34…7e93backed McNally66c232$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.21450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked McNally49c223.18$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.322,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Sierra17c215.14$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7158021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…f012backed Sierra59c208.47$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.476855.9%38 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked Sierra18c200$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1652454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c0c…a55dbacked McNally70c200$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14022965.9%151 W · 78 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba6…0fbdbacked McNally79c200$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick75cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed McNally80c200$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1591,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Sierra26c199.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.9959348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked McNally78c192.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Sierra21c190.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.483627.8%10 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Sierra19c175.42$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.096154.1%33 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid+2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc7…55f6backed Sierra50c156.17$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6411553%61 W · 54 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90db…b7aebacked McNally26c147.92$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecec…d72fbacked Sierra27c141.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Sierra48c141.58$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.933240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed McNally71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010862%67 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe09e…5047backed Sierra27c138.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.537444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Sierra40c130.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.052,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Sierra50c129.77$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.814459.1%26 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed20…84f1backed Sierra29c120$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.22825%7 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed McNally11c118.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed McNally53c114.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8247057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf232…4fc6backed Sierra27c110$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.34761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f51…e179backed Sierra19c100$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811520%3 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-21.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc669…53eabacked McNally70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707266.7%48 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0ff…3a11backed Sierra16c99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+337.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84a6…4aa8backed Sierra31c98.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.131090%9 W · 1 L+4.3wins+0.43per pick47cpaid+137.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe70d…dd35backed Sierra31c96.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.352975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9f6…2171backed Sierra21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.24650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed McNally67c81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.272646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Sierra33c81$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2725428%71 W · 183 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62cc…f56fbacked Sierra28c79.94$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+70%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca73…b02ebacked Sierra21c77.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.86728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Sierra65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9273350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9f…e23bbacked McNally70c71.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sierra47c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.081,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed Sierra49c62.63$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.945050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa33b…fa01backed Sierra20c60.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.21764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…6fbebacked McNally35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.151513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-77.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Sierra21c57.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7121448.1%103 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40af…24f4backed McNally76c52.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8069…30e3backed Sierra29c51.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.155147.1%24 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed McNally77c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.56,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…1abdbacked McNally59c43.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2640%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked McNally77c40$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.82755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked McNally65c38.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539850%199 W · 199 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cce…db6ebacked Sierra59c37.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e2…5d6ebacked Sierra58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed McNally41c34.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.996918.8%13 W · 56 L-11.0wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-50.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf90f…8296backed Sierra79c32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.72862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+74.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb790…3c77backed McNally33c30.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x187b…f545backed McNally62c28.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.973852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e4…e026backed McNally56c28.52$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.112147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed McNally49c27$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2331948.9%156 W · 163 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a4…e909backed Sierra77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.97366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2718…c9c4backed McNally63c24.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-59.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x497a…650fbacked Sierra74c18.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.641457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.