TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62a1…978a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST3145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$63.8
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Hornets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Heat vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+51.5%+$27.24
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+138.8%+$23.25
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$36.4
Bulls vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$9.3
Hornets vs. Clippersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+42.9%+$6
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Pacers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+171.3%+$44.19
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$12.8
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+212.5%+$34
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$35
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+300%+$74.99
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Tomas Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
San Luis Potosi: Tibo Colson vs Rodrigo Pachecobacked Rodrigo Pacheco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.47
Grand Prix Hassan II: Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Bucharest Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Filip Jianubacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$40.85
ASB Classic: Hamad Medjedovic vs Jakub Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+49.3%+$45.66
Hobart International: Antonia Ruzic vs Solana Sierrabacked Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$174.12
ASB Classic: Fabian Marozsan vs Casper Ruudbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$83.25
Adelaide International: Marton Fucsovics vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37%+$87.13
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$57.04
Hobart International: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierrabacked Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+73.6%+$122.96
ASB Classic: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Adelaide International: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Sebastian Kordabacked Korda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Adelaide International: Jaqueline Cristian vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+38.9%+$209.88
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50.44
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$53.6
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Andrey Rublev vs Yibing Wubacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+123.6%+$30.89
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Brisbane International: Cameron Norrie vs Ugo Humbertbacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+163.2%+$18.6
All 21 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+163.2%+$124
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Jets vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$12.18
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+306%+$61.2
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Spread: Patriots (-7.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+112.8%+$12.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-62%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs illwill (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.6
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$73.93
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$38.39
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$38.89
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$92.38
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$138.89
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 (BO3)backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+133.3%+$22.66
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+354.5%+$141.82
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23.99
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$142.22
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$57.56
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$175.95
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.39per pick54cpaid-80.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$44.4
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
LoL: DRX Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$27
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+39.1%+$56.25
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.34
All 7 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$9.2
Islanders vs. Canucksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+28.2%+$15.4
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Sabres vs. Canucksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+35.3%+$61.29
Ducks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+88.7%+$13.3
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+119.8%+$109
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+100%+$80
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Spread: UNLV Runnin' (-6.5)backed UNLV Runnin' · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$65.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+210.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+210.6%+$52.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-12-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+85.2%+$9.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$41.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$27.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-01-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$263.07
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.