Tennis · resolved market
Adelaide International: Marton Fucsovics vs Alexander Shevchenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0d62444bb1e5e2f37b6a3ac82e383add71dd5d71fc64d79a43f53e1b8a497cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shevchenkoof Fucsovics, Shevchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fucsovics | 31c | 4,839$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.82 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Fucsovics | 65c | 3,631$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.15 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shevchenko | 80c | 3,614$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.21 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Fucsovics | 11c | 3,524$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.08 | 108 | 15.7%17 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +248.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Shevchenko | 69c | 3,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Shevchenko | 68c | 2,944$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.84 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shevchenko | 39c | 1,764$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.49 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Shevchenko | 68c | 1,678$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.89 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Shevchenko | 53c | 1,260$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.19 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Fucsovics | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd8…62f5backed Shevchenko | 70c | 999.99$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Fucsovics | 32c | 500$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Fucsovics | 28c | 481.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7c…d12fbacked Fucsovics | 36c | 417$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…978abacked Shevchenko | 73c | 322.72$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Fucsovics | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Shevchenko | 61c | 294.67$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.48 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Shevchenko | 69c | 289.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Fucsovics | 18c | 239.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Fucsovics | 28c | 232.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 276 | 27.2%75 W · 201 L | -25.2wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…9b53backed Shevchenko | 68c | 224.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shevchenko | 68c | 210.16$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.33 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Fucsovics | 44c | 206.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 129 | 42.6%55 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ca…6e5ebacked Shevchenko | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Fucsovics | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Shevchenko | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Fucsovics | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Fucsovics | 32c | 193.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Fucsovics | 26c | 167$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Shevchenko | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4f…3ae6backed Fucsovics | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Fucsovics | 62c | 131.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…3652backed Fucsovics | 63c | 126.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Fucsovics | 30c | 123.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Shevchenko | 67c | 110.45$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Shevchenko | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Fucsovics | 31c | 95.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Fucsovics | 21c | 93.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2718…c9c4backed Fucsovics | 34c | 87.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Shevchenko | 73c | 81.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Shevchenko | 70c | 80.72$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Fucsovics | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fucsovics | 52c | 76.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Fucsovics | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Shevchenko | 60c | 71.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Shevchenko | 68c | 65.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…961cbacked Shevchenko | 72c | 60.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Shevchenko | 73c | 59.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Shevchenko | 72c | 58.58$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…ad71backed Fucsovics | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Shevchenko | 78c | 51.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Shevchenko | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Shevchenko | 35c | 41.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Fucsovics | 31c | 37.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Fucsovics | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Fucsovics | 37c | 30.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…d044backed Shevchenko | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…c11abacked Shevchenko | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Shevchenko | 70c | 28.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…0e7dbacked Shevchenko | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669e…035bbacked Shevchenko | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 101 | 86.1%87 W · 14 L | +14.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Fucsovics | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Adelaide International: Marton Fucsovics vs Alexander Shevchenkothis page
- Fucsovics vs. Shevchenko: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Fucsovics vs. Shevchenko: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Fucsovics vs ShevchenkoShevchenko won
- Set Handicap: Fucsovics (-1.5) vs Shevchenko (+1.5)Shevchenko won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.