CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7178761223d21818d26667d9f1408d18e83a142e5d114ef2d6facdd8d354e5bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 43c | 8,091$3,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.8 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 6,301$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.27 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 50c | 6,260$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.9 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Over | 3c | 2,953$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed0…a9c5backed Over | 50c | 2,810$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,403.16 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Under | 50c | 1,624$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Over | 49c | 1,000$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.51 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 54c | 938.36$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.64 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 51c | 937.85$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.54 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Under | 53c | 728.38$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.34 | 134 | 60.4%81 W · 53 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcae7…e1b7backed Under | 61c | 658.69$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.89 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Over | 46c | 484.78$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 43c | 441.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Under | 45c | 384.44$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.44 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…18afbacked Over | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…2ab9backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Under | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 47c | 286.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.86 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0003…e2cdbacked Under | 76c | 216.06$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Under | 54c | 203.85$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 55c | 199.53$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cc…b8a2backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…978abacked Over | 56c | 165.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -62%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 59c | 151.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74e…5a43backed Over | 47c | 95.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Over | 42c | 86.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Under | 57c | 84.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb861…27ffbacked Over | 47c | 80.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 44c | 79.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x600f…4392backed Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Under | 48c | 73.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 222 | 54.5%121 W · 101 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 53c | 62.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee30…bcc3backed Over | 49c | 61.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Over | 46c | 57.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…58efbacked Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 32c | 53.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Under | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…02c2backed Under | 60c | 50.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…1967backed Over | 45c | 50.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Under | 51c | 50.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee86…07d8backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…2ac1backed Over | 47c | 42.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc11…b0b3backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Over | 41c | 40.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 57c | 36.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Under | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb0…1369backed Under | 58c | 31.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f5…30c1backed Over | 46c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed Under | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Over | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5320…f3b2backed Under | 62c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6f…778fbacked Under | 71c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)FaZe won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
- Total Rounds Over/Under 49.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.