TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,035,076
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,043,346

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,035,076 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 636 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No45c100,000$45,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,999.9817248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes55c59,324$32,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,695.593946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No43c22,864$9,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,831.48957.3%51 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes62c14,036$8,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,362.644,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes55c9,667$5,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,328.3164046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb3…d38ebacked Yes55c8,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6004100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+137.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd034…0c2ebacked Yes57c7,093$4,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No5c6,708$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafcb…f2c4backed Yes54c6,083$3,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,798.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x803e…b070backed Yes57c5,558$3,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7404…e963backed Yes54c4,901$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,254.464100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71ae…22f4backed No44c4,391$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,93210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafd2…df2fbacked Yes56c4,383$2,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,928.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes55c4,335$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,958.4753246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5a…613dbacked Yes57c4,272$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8981…a43abacked No46c4,224$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,943.04520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x65cf…4034backed No46c4,061$1,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a43…9171backed No46c3,825$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+49.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…939abacked Yes54c3,755$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-69.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed No45c3,640$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.593218.8%6 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No43c3,593$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,556.266836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4f…1d1ebacked Yes54c3,554$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,634.84475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf878…622cbacked No46c3,392$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b8d…f4f8backed No46c3,357$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.22520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa245…d0e3backed No46c3,214$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.441070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09c3…992fbacked No46c3,195$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.7520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd00e…e8b0backed No46c3,161$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc124…4db5backed Yes54c3,149$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-41.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ebd…49e1backed Yes54c3,148$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.08560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Yes57c3,105$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…9985backed Yes54c3,025$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+89.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5db3…a0d2backed No46c3,002$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.92757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf06e…38e7backed No46c3,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.952433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No43c2,974$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.627321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xec25…0e6dbacked No46c2,949$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.54520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1165…9b36backed No46c2,932$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.72520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaaf7…96f5backed Yes54c2,898$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c5…4c95backed No46c2,897$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x604f…2bffbacked No46c2,887$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.02650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd11b…85f5backed No46c2,853$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.38650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x290b…4ba6backed No46c2,810$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7473…af26backed Yes54c2,802$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+63.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddf…f3a5backed Yes54c2,743$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+63.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1e…2b08backed No46c2,722$1,252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1429…bc35backed Yes54c2,707$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.22425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3278…c58ebacked No46c2,700$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+59.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c77…e281backed Yes54c2,567$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac82…1234backed Yes54c2,558$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9c4…98dabacked Yes54c2,557$1,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6857…f883backed Yes54c2,546$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+92.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9687…2656backed No46c2,540$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dea…6b86backed Yes54c2,518$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.28540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd481…433bbacked Yes54c2,504$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+118.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe756…c45dbacked Yes54c2,453$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.38850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66c…d521backed No46c2,426$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,115.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7812…268dbacked No46c2,418$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ad…8026backed No46c2,400$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3829…c9dfbacked Yes54c2,400$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab11…1e58backed Yes54c2,393$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.78580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+87.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a05…b92abacked Yes54c2,375$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.5560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce4…3fbcbacked No46c2,371$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.66425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd446…7b8dbacked Yes54c2,367$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+87.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe73f…ad3cbacked No46c2,356$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.76520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3064…03e1backed No46c2,321$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+77.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0424…8ccdbacked Yes54c2,271$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.66580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+101.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98ba…3eb2backed No46c2,250$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+49.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7dc…65c0backed No46c2,228$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde7…c74bbacked Yes54c2,205$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.3683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c0b…1d98backed Yes54c2,188$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+57.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1352…1132backed Yes54c2,174$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+95.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x622e…fa8dbacked Yes54c2,150$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9597…eccfbacked Yes54c2,127$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c99…65b7backed No46c2,102$967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3acf…8e5bbacked No46c2,098$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.08540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbadc…61cebacked No46c2,056$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f11…94eabacked Yes54c2,053$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.38683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.43per pick40cpaid+118.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6687…3b25backed No46c2,052$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+52.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x947a…89b0backed No46c2,018$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86013845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34c…39dbbacked Yes54c1,984$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a06…ecc5backed No46c1,970$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c1,950$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.861,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x556d…a234backed No46c1,942$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.32757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No44c1,932$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.3623452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6601…72ccbacked Yes54c1,913$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.98560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe35…6419backed Yes54c1,899$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+77.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fc…e5d8backed No46c1,873$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02a0…bc13backed No46c1,870$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1a…5f0bbacked Yes54c1,843$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb42f…1f6fbacked No46c1,827$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6c1…b81ebacked No46c1,818$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.2850%0 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9d66…6bbfbacked Yes54c1,798$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f3b…3f44backed No46c1,758$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.68540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.397448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f39…1601backed Yes54c1,748$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.08862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa24…62e6backed Yes54c1,746$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6551…5fc8backed Yes54c1,737$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58fa…6519backed No46c1,734$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…59f4backed Yes54c1,732$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.