La Liga · resolved market
Will Osasuna vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9e320cea899f8d14a30f91787a780c9b7230c99c7859ac60761997dff869390
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Yes | 20c | 1,577$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…2606backed No | 76c | 1,371$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -58%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 13c | 986.21$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 826$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.12 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 800.87$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.86 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Yes | 25c | 769.48$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.37 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 603.68$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.31 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…046cbacked Yes | 24c | 300.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 26c | 280$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 20c | 265.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 6c | 239.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 75c | 227.91$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…f308backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 24c | 196.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.08 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 425 | 57.9%246 W · 179 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 147.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed No | 76c | 146$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 25c | 125.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 123$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…23febacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…18e9backed Yes | 25c | 83.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…79a8backed No | 75c | 83$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 74c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…3936backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1e40backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 74c | 48.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb30…6ffbbacked Yes | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…ee09backed Yes | 26c | 43.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…ac92backed Yes | 25c | 40.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 75c | 40.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 185 | 64.9%120 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…cc69backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…6956backed No | 75c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc095…e5bbbacked Yes | 26c | 39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked No | 75c | 32.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cc…fdccbacked No | 76c | 26.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15e…5111backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 19.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 74c | 19.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…a2febacked No | 75c | 19.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 75c | 17.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed No | 74c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 76c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Osasuna vs. Levante UD end in a draw?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-08?No won
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.