La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4da4bfcb34128c0ad201cb38bc029926effd62ea60a18351878d5c6567cc382
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,990
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 19c | 6,315$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.39 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 2,919$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.18 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 20c | 2,895$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.56 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 19c | 2,892$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.6 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 19c | 2,547$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.88 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 1c | 1,350$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Yes | 19c | 1,322$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.19 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 1,262$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.6 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 18c | 1,039$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.02 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 79c | 633$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.93 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Yes | 19c | 599.52$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 19c | 505.47$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 19c | 500.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 80c | 460$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6c…5ab5backed No | 80c | 419.12$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 19c | 143.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…3936backed Yes | 20c | 140.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…ff39backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…f2a5backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 18c | 111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 18c | 58.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a6…f02fbacked Yes | 21c | 56.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-08?this page
- Will Osasuna vs. Levante UD end in a draw?No won
- Will Osasuna win on 2025-12-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.