TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35a4…23fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
35
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Flamesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$627Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$626.98
Oilers vs. Jetsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+96.1%+$73.5
Devils vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$174
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$118
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$84
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$49.5
Panthers vs. Predatorsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+72.4%+$336
Blues vs. Maple Leafsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$211.5
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+138.1%+$464
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$204
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$175.99
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$96
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+132.6%+$285
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$198
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+155.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$256.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$162
Steelers vs. Bearsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$408.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Boise State Broncosbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+488.2%+$539.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona vs. Cincinnatibacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+203%+$268
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+138.1%+$40.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Alycia Parksbacked Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$42.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$109.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.