NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45d7c5318549040a77268ac575d25fca384dac212278b606572bfbbd79e38ab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $457,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 396 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Golden Knights | 43c | 24,792$10,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,561.97 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Golden Knights | 41c | 17,454$7,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,119.39 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 49c | 13,853$6,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,006.94 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Avalanche | 59c | 13,172$7,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,465.36 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Golden Knights | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 11,773$7,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,155.08 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 58c | 11,179$6,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.21 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Avalanche | 59c | 10,875$6,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,458.58 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Golden Knights | 54c | 10,559$5,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,701.01 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Avalanche | 34c | 10,510$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,916.43 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 36c | 10,492$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,756.44 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights | 41c | 10,366$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.99 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Avalanche | 13c | 9,952$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,630.09 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Avalanche | 58c | 9,495$5,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987.92 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 57c | 9,343$5,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021.13 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights | 59c | 9,089$5,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,386.92 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Golden Knights | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche | 58c | 8,439$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.38 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Avalanche | 29c | 7,738$2,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,460.72 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 57c | 7,160$4,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.24 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Golden Knights | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 6,936$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,927.78 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Avalanche | 57c | 6,800$3,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…4399backed Avalanche | 54c | 6,614$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Avalanche | 14c | 6,343$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,428.23 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Golden Knights | 47c | 6,075$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.82 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Avalanche | 52c | 5,938$3,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.97 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…86a1backed Golden Knights | 68c | 5,928$4,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,010.8 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Avalanche | 53c | 5,860$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.36 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Avalanche | 43c | 5,753$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.25 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Avalanche | 53c | 5,549$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.42 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Golden Knights | 40c | 5,032$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.83 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Avalanche | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Avalanche | 39c | 4,700$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.17 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Avalanche | 57c | 4,687$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.54 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Avalanche | 60c | 4,459$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.71 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Avalanche | 59c | 3,321$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.77 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…ef40backed Avalanche | 57c | 3,252$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Avalanche | 40c | 3,248$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Golden Knights | 77c | 3,064$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Golden Knights | 41c | 3,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,800$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Avalanche | 32c | 2,728$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights | 69c | 2,449$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.44 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Golden Knights | 42c | 2,350$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights | 1c | 2,333$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Avalanche | 44c | 2,217$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.85 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Golden Knights | 57c | 2,207$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.92 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Avalanche | 47c | 2,187$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.76 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Golden Knights | 42c | 1,786$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Golden Knights | 57c | 1,729$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.79 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Golden Knights | 47c | 1,702$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Golden Knights | 49c | 1,594$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.37 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8757…872dbacked Avalanche | 34c | 1,503$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 29cpaid | +233.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Avalanche | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.99 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…ceb4backed Golden Knights | 42c | 1,401$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.42 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 1,371$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.82 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights | 63c | 1,316$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.13 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Avalanche | 44c | 1,178$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.15 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Golden Knights | 80c | 1,175$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…d6a3backed Golden Knights | 47c | 1,171$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 44c | 1,130$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.08 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Avalanche | 44c | 1,100$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Golden Knights | 41c | 1,000$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.5 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Avalanche | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68bf…3e67backed Golden Knights | 59c | 999.96$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.97 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Avalanche | 40c | 977.02$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.25 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70b…7a8abacked Avalanche | 59c | 976.27$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.27 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Avalanche | 44c | 900.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.93 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Golden Knights | 42c | 818$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.56 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Golden Knights | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Avalanche | 43c | 798.53$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.53 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Golden Knights | 42c | 798$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Avalanche | 30c | 734.11$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.14 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Golden Knights | 57c | 732.12$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.27 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…10b0backed Avalanche | 56c | 722.53$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Golden Knights | 61c | 700.26$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.35 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Golden Knights | 43c | 698$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.14 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Golden Knights | 42c | 692.15$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Golden Knights | 41c | 649.96$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.98 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Golden Knights | 41c | 621.66$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.66 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Avalanche | 55c | 617.22$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Avalanche | 59c | 610.17$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.17 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Golden Knights | 59c | 599.96$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Golden Knights | 49c | 598.88$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.31 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Avalanche | 26c | 590.89$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.79 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Avalanche | 25c | 588.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.66 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Golden Knights | 68c | 551.8$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.99 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Avalanche | 54c | 535$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659b…e764backed Golden Knights | 11c | 527.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Golden Knights | 50c | 522.53$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.22 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8b…15babacked Golden Knights | 42c | 521.4$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.41 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Avalanche | 31c | 519.52$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.76 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Avalanche | 56c | 512.75$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Avalanche | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Golden Knights | 46c | 501.22$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.14 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Over won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.