NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c712c513108d8b2bc1b672a86cf3d1370eaec3b3a88b35cba46f699959caa27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 41c | 190$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Under | 41c | 186$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Under | 41c | 182$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f0…327cbacked Under | 41c | 149$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Under | 41c | 133$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Under | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 41c | 105$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Under | 41c | 98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Over | 59c | 88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Under | 41c | 86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Under | 41c | 86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…1abfbacked Under | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Under | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Under | 41c | 83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Over | 59c | 81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 78.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked Over | 60c | 77.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 41c | 76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.16 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 41c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked Over | 59c | 64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 41c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 40c | 54.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…dcaabacked Over | 59c | 49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Over | 59c | 47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…e342backed Over | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…fcb4backed Over | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked Over | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Over | 59c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Over | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Over | 59c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…9bdbbacked Over | 59c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 59c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed Over | 59c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Over | 59c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 38.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…9b17backed Over | 59c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Over | 59c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Under | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Over | 59c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29ab…b38dbacked Over | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Over | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Over | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Over | 59c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 60c | 27.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…65fabacked Over | 59c | 26.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Over | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…47edbacked Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…bd06backed Over | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a4…be3abacked Over | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Over | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c9…3f9fbacked Over | 59c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed Over | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsAvalanche won
- Avalanche vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.