TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Avalanche, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,948
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,948 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Avalanche37c2,569$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.831,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Golden Knights63c1,467$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.7984953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Golden Knights63c1,129$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.041,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche23c303.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.752,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Golden Knights77c303.25$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7542254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa521…4599backed Golden Knights63c247$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.474151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Golden Knights63c221$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.774259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Avalanche35c211.72$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.189547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1488…0672backed Golden Knights64c200$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.555253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Golden Knights68c180$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.881,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Golden Knights65c161.54$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5481157.2%464 W · 347 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Golden Knights63c153$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.616167.2%41 W · 20 L+9.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Golden Knights64c146$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.564052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Golden Knights63c141$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.174143.9%18 W · 23 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd5b…8882backed Avalanche37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+83.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Golden Knights63c128$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.362944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x363a…b79ebacked Golden Knights63c127$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.423351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4970…21f6backed Golden Knights63c124$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.884148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Golden Knights63c120$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.43354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e32…f244backed Golden Knights64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.22458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Golden Knights63c102$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.742948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Avalanche35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3554132.7%177 W · 364 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Avalanche36c97.22$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3569653.4%372 W · 324 L-16.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Golden Knights63c94$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.784656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf33d…1969backed Avalanche36c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Avalanche37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.62352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84b8…d83abacked Golden Knights65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.924100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49ec…c4e5backed Golden Knights63c74$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.382951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Golden Knights63c73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.014055%22 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Avalanche32c72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6819442.8%83 W · 111 L-12.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Golden Knights64c72$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9227148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc938…af43backed Golden Knights64c65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.44450%22 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Golden Knights63c64$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.683366.7%22 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Golden Knights64c54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.445255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb520…60bcbacked Avalanche36c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.632347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66f7…2894backed Avalanche37c54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.861560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x194f…81b6backed Avalanche36c52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.842462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00c0…4523backed Avalanche36c52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.951662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Golden Knights64c51.56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5622248.2%107 W · 115 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…9b15backed Avalanche36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc368…0b4ebacked Golden Knights63c49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.132040%8 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-22.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd568…655ebacked Avalanche37c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.762161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Avalanche37c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.761637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33b7…c747backed Avalanche36c48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.281643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5f…b793backed Avalanche37c47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.391963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Golden Knights63c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.654050%20 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6162…e856backed Avalanche37c44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.281735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8cf9…1abfbacked Golden Knights63c43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.911877.8%14 W · 4 L+5.1wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+54.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9a4e…e3a4backed Avalanche37c43$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.912065%13 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6533…0f9cbacked Avalanche36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…218cbacked Avalanche37c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.171060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cdb…ae41backed Avalanche36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfadc…a4e8backed Avalanche36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked Avalanche37c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1313…866abacked Avalanche37c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.432552%13 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5956…e127backed Avalanche37c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.432245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Avalanche36c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.043354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d78…4756backed Avalanche37c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.431921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-61.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x608b…6e88backed Avalanche36c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.042842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xede6…89c4backed Avalanche37c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.432240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…042fbacked Avalanche37c38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.062138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29ab…b38dbacked Avalanche37c37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.692060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Avalanche33c36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8819645.4%89 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Avalanche34c36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2420447.5%97 W · 107 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Avalanche34c36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2410543.8%46 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Avalanche34c36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2411247.3%53 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Golden Knights66c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2418262.1%113 W · 69 L+15.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Golden Knights66c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2462951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50be…bcb1backed Avalanche37c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.951250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1670…d6a2backed Avalanche37c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.952060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9d9…6febbacked Avalanche36c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.691361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf3e…390fbacked Avalanche36c35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62050%10 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Golden Knights65c32.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3169061.6%425 W · 265 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5266…ddaebacked Avalanche37c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd253…14d9backed Avalanche37c32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.841637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd512…91eebacked Avalanche37c31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.471163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04a1…6b2dbacked Avalanche37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6132…7665backed Golden Knights63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07a4…be3abacked Avalanche37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25c3…eb62backed Avalanche37c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.362236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0e6…71e4backed Golden Knights64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Golden Knights64c23.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7623249.1%114 W · 118 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e6c…9a1dbacked Golden Knights65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.087353.4%39 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed Golden Knights65c22.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.816847.1%32 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Golden Knights64c19.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1619046.8%89 W · 101 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Golden Knights64c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.489952.5%52 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Golden Knights63c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6610552.4%55 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Golden Knights63c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6617249.4%85 W · 87 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Golden Knights64c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4810652.8%56 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.