NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd859e61b2e7510d229b9d9adcea0525de517cf20717094f5c61b5d7758b2ede2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Knicks, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,934,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,129,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,934,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,564 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Knicks | 47c | 306,160$145,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Magic | 50c | 243,660$122,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,725.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed Magic | 54c | 134,330$71,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,355.82 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Knicks | 49c | 100,309$48,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,845.26 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks | 50c | 95,563$47,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,781.32 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Magic | 51c | 93,143$47,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,604.87 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 52c | 63,858$33,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,651.89 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Knicks | 49c | 61,324$30,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,048.74 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Magic | 54c | 58,717$31,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,734.33 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Knicks | 26c | 56,797$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e1…2ec3backed Knicks | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magic | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Magic | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.96 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Magic | 53c | 47,653$25,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,398.25 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Knicks | 49c | 45,439$22,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,261.62 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks | 22c | 44,550$9,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,944.59 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 47c | 40,640$19,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,269.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Knicks | 55c | 39,900$22,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,030.96 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Magic | 79c | 37,442$29,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,889.04 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Magic | 53c | 33,163$17,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,586.65 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Magic | 61c | 32,945$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,944.96 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…80c3backed Magic | 51c | 32,373$16,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,951.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic | 52c | 26,664$13,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,739.21 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Knicks | 49c | 25,553$12,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,565.39 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Magic | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,749.99 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Knicks | 48c | 23,100$11,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,026 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Knicks | 46c | 22,923$10,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,583 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Knicks | 51c | 22,500$11,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,483.93 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9028backed Magic | 46c | 22,000$10,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,880 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…8342backed Magic | 53c | 21,804$11,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,345.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks | 44c | 21,646$9,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,471.52 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Knicks | 3c | 20,545$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.3 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Knicks | 25c | 20,255$5,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,144.1 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Magic | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Magic | 53c | 18,781$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,781.01 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Knicks | 32c | 18,675$5,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,971.42 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Magic | 56c | 15,699$8,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,921.23 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Knicks | 48c | 15,555$7,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,466.37 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Knicks | 47c | 15,436$7,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,255 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Knicks | 58c | 15,326$8,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,826.15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Knicks | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Knicks | 49c | 14,983$7,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,363.63 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Knicks | 46c | 14,858$6,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,818.03 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Knicks | 48c | 14,704$6,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,997.58 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Magic | 66c | 14,267$9,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.16 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Knicks | 48c | 12,555$6,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,020.64 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Knicks | 47c | 12,537$5,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,892.39 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Magic | 52c | 12,480$6,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,014.79 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Knicks | 0c | 11,389$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Knicks | 47c | 11,200$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Knicks | 48c | 11,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Knicks | 46c | 10,809$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks | 40c | 10,801$4,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,312.17 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Knicks | 47c | 10,552$4,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,931.53 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Magic | 53c | 10,478$5,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.54 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 34c | 10,434$3,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,588.95 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Knicks | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2c…097cbacked Magic | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Knicks | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…32a3backed Magic | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…3172backed Knicks | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Knicks | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 3c | 10,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Knicks | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.96 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Knicks | 6c | 9,972$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.16 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks | 39c | 8,888$3,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,506.03 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Knicks | 50c | 8,705$4,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,331.02 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Knicks | 47c | 8,663$4,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,096.02 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 45c | 8,588$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Knicks | 46c | 8,328$3,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.82 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Knicks | 35c | 8,084$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.28 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…4365backed Knicks | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…b1b5backed Magic | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Knicks | 51c | 7,840$3,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.4 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9609…29bdbacked Knicks | 48c | 7,829$3,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,758 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…a606backed Knicks | 47c | 7,390$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,473.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Knicks | 38c | 7,158$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.01 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magic | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Knicks | 60c | 6,867$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,087.37 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…85d4backed Knicks | 1c | 6,694$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Knicks | 1c | 6,549$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed Knicks | 50c | 6,107$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.5 | 205 | 42.9%88 W · 117 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…d4dabacked Knicks | 48c | 5,946$2,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.09 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Knicks | 46c | 5,785$2,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,661.05 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c8…e7ebbacked Magic | 49c | 5,775$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,945.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…462dbacked Knicks | 51c | 5,773$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,944 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Magic | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.6 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545f…bedebacked Magic | 55c | 5,397$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,428.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Magic | 78c | 5,027$3,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Magic | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d0…f32dbacked Magic | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Knicks | 48c | 4,750$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…97f2backed Knicks | 46c | 4,565$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Knicks | 49c | 4,558$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.65 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Magic | 66c | 4,543$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.15 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Knicks | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Knicks | 45c | 4,426$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Knicks | 44c | 4,368$1,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.41 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Knicks | 36c | 4,322$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.37 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Magicthis page
- Knicks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 230.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.