NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaa6a071bd4ad39f13f3a256e81607304b04ead430b404643309e91f958fa5b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 11,930$5,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,079.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…bce1backed Under | 52c | 8,100$4,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,212 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…f1f6backed Over | 48c | 8,100$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 49c | 3,554$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.46 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 44c | 3,118$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Over | 56c | 3,118$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.86 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 3,031$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.07 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Under | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Under | 1c | 1,715$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958f…7d5abacked Under | 48c | 1,196$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.9 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 51c | 1,045$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.71 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 48c | 728.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 690.2$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…2d12backed Under | 51c | 690.2$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Under | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 50c | 521.76$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.88 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e13…732fbacked Under | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 409$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 51c | 392.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.19 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Under | 51c | 313.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…a108backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 183.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…2979backed Under | 25c | 144.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 49c | 140.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 48c | 112.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…b155backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…32c2backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…2a71backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Under | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 67.9%152 W · 72 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…d41fbacked Over | 52c | 75.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…dfa3backed Under | 50c | 61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…ad73backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…88e5backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…1d99backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…8248backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 29.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…0b89backed Over | 51c | 29.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 51c | 26.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Over | 50c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Under | 49c | 21.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 230.5this page
- Knicks vs. MagicMagic won
- Knicks vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Magic: O/U 229.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.