TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,767,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,767,218 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc423…2ccdbacked No0c432,430$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.43922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-63.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No34c167,000$56,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,780.599028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes66c161,440$106,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,004.0110450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No33c80,626$26,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,839.850149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes66c79,920$53,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,838.849640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No34c78,539$26,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,703.193138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes66c76,741$50,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,107.6850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes66c62,148$41,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,876.6290843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No34c45,600$15,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,503.97321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No34c34,411$11,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,699.732646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No34c32,000$10,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,879.72445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No33c30,250$9,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,982.546023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ae5…ead2backed Yes67c25,079$16,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,275.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed No34c20,800$7,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0131330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No34c19,177$6,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,521.271,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes67c18,657$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,156.726832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No34c14,912$5,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,069.4710539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03a1…8f46backed Yes67c14,851$9,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,901.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No35c14,601$5,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,109.997922.8%18 W · 61 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No35c14,043$4,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,914.512152.9%64 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes67c12,500$8,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1253158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes67c12,226$8,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,041.8726550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No34c10,889$3,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,701.963444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked No35c9,358$3,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2541020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes67c9,113$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,012.794,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No34c8,930$3,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,036.1350449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No34c8,456$2,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,874.781741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No35c8,295$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,902.87139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No7c6,871$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.2969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes67c6,716$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.42966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No34c6,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.988041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No12c5,482$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.0711839%46 W · 72 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No34c5,285$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.93432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes66c5,194$3,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,765.965440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked No43c5,080$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.42138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes66c5,007$3,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.293946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No34c4,697$1,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.4620449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No14c4,670$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.161,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde06…f5bdbacked Yes67c4,224$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes66c4,106$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.0513046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes67c3,800$2,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2545050%25 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x203b…acd1backed No33c3,800$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.71728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+197.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No34c3,791$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.061435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d7…f14fbacked Yes67c3,601$2,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.491936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No34c3,394$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.0519255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No34c3,333$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.217443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No34c3,294$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.692254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No35c3,124$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.211435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccc5…ada3backed Yes67c3,034$2,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.835650%28 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes66c3,027$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.331376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0508142%34 W · 47 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.15052%26 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes66c2,273$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.7328055%154 W · 126 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes66c2,273$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.731361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No34c2,226$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.6332645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked No33c2,100$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6931618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1263…fddcbacked Yes66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6802962.1%18 W · 11 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+44.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No34c1,904$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.2521355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No33c1,801$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.3335148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No34c1,789$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.5142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes66c1,669$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.618341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Yes66c1,667$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc736…e547backed Yes62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.9771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b05…434ebacked No34c1,577$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.34520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Yes66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.157468.9%51 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e34…9634backed No35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No34c1,490$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.38828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Yes65c1,458$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.46714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-78%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Yes67c1,427$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.9613263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6443backed No34c1,397$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.921030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes66c1,377$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.6133734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes68c1,287$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.154360.5%26 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No9c1,262$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.551,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x896a…688dbacked No35c1,249$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4372030%6 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No22c1,191$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.791,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x677f…1c6ebacked No34c1,165$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3961040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed No35c1,146$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.261656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed No5c1,111$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4922…34a7backed No2c1,059$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.181233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+163.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3301346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b72…64f1backed No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34010046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No34c883.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x749f…714bbacked Yes66c825.92$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.92825%2 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-63.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes66c789.48$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.4220245.5%92 W · 110 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed No34c788.74$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.173935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes66c776$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.844951%25 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked No34c766$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.128550.6%43 W · 42 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Yes66c757.73$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.731154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Yes66c757.57$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.573148.4%15 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x724c…1521backed Yes67c746.7$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.73265.6%21 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75c2…b8b5backed Yes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.27580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.45per pick35cpaid+169%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes65c727.69$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.6949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc89…3015backed No6c703.31$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd07f…9fe7backed Yes66c700$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No14c700$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.67719.5%15 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4e…3896backed Yes66c700$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes76c682.01$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.011346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cee…2db1backed Yes66c669.18$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.