La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf92969ff25894321b2db0847c8120cdcf699eaa5b48b338dadd4c9c17e90e307
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,305 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 0c | 63,429$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 18c | 50,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 0c | 10,050$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 5,697$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.38 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e99…72a0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…1861backed Yes | 13c | 4,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 1c | 3,463$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 13c | 3,345$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.88 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 1c | 3,095$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +162.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 13c | 2,785$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 14c | 2,678$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.36 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 3c | 2,400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 13c | 2,112$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.55 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,083$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f44…1c0bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,855$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,770$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.72 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7ce0backed Yes | 17c | 1,306$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 14c | 1,208$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Yes | 3c | 1,010$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf0…fd08backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 10c | 814.69$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 650.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 16c | 605.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb8…af02backed Yes | 14c | 551.37$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…4059backed Yes | 18c | 284.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +300%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 5c | 277.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 14c | 241.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc0…3a4abacked Yes | 14c | 177$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 17c | 146.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 14c | 146.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 14c | 142.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…09fcbacked Yes | 14c | 140.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13dd…b2b7backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 13c | 123.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 17c | 121$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 118$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Yes | 13c | 113.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd63d…8c40backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0bb…60c2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 11c | 97.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 14c | 88.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 14c | 88.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…bf74backed Yes | 15c | 86.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29b…6012backed Yes | 18c | 84.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…ab74backed Yes | 15c | 81.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 13c | 77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…8644backed Yes | 14c | 76.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…ffb0backed Yes | 15c | 68.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.