Fifa International · resolved market
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9307ddc6ea0bf56377fd195cd90e177480573b524010b2924fc7d824f0c1ec8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $731,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $917,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 563 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7e3…1a64backed Yes | 59c | 76,923$45,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,431.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 43c | 75,000$32,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,249.86 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 69,555$38,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,355.31 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 39,425$16,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,370.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Yes | 77c | 38,917$29,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,950.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 23c | 38,499$8,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,854.74 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 34,143$13,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,936.03 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…39c0backed No | 42c | 26,163$10,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,988.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 47c | 21,568$10,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,103.08 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 39c | 21,362$8,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,435.87 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…89c8backed Yes | 4c | 17,120$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,435.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 57c | 16,163$9,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,950.1 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 14,521$6,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,184.43 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 47c | 14,113$6,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,674.47 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 41c | 12,862$5,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,273.29 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked No | 42c | 11,882$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,991.73 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 56c | 8,825$4,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.31 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 41c | 8,151$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.33 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Yes | 62c | 7,000$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a3…801cbacked Yes | 67c | 5,997$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…6638backed Yes | 67c | 5,851$3,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.88 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 5,525$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.54 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked No | 48c | 5,173$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…2edebacked No | 41c | 4,500$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 58c | 4,094$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.4 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 12c | 3,638$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.74 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…b917backed Yes | 56c | 3,300$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,436.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 43c | 3,194$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 61c | 3,178$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.8 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 3,169$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.35 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 59c | 3,151$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…f18dbacked Yes | 59c | 3,151$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 53c | 2,985$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.91 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…9a02backed Yes | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 53c | 2,652$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Yes | 61c | 2,621$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.19 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 74c | 2,587$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.98 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked No | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 48c | 2,200$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 35c | 2,195$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.66 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked No | 30c | 2,117$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.04 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…67cdbacked Yes | 58c | 2,111$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +393.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 53c | 2,004$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.77 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3b…81c0backed Yes | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 52c | 1,999$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.52 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 67c | 1,928$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.48 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 53c | 1,890$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.31 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 176 | 64.8%114 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2497…319dbacked No | 42c | 1,800$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc16…8ff3backed Yes | 57c | 1,700$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…3923backed No | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,688$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…6877backed Yes | 62c | 1,667$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.4 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9cb5backed Yes | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Yes | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 41c | 1,566$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.04 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 53c | 1,561$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.5 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…1c3bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,504$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.03 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,436$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.51 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked No | 37c | 1,409$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.18 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 1,392$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.68 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 13c | 1,320$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.94 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…ad31backed Yes | 77c | 1,301$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.36 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 48c | 1,299$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.31 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,264$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.72 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed No | 50c | 1,220$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…5e0cbacked Yes | 61c | 1,189$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 42c | 1,149$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.08 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 29c | 1,105$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.19 | 140 | 40.7%57 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Yes | 52c | 1,083$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…a4eebacked Yes | 58c | 1,066$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…2687backed Yes | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…23febacked No | 43c | 999.96$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +155.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 37c | 999.96$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 36c | 999.92$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.79 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 61c | 999.78$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.79 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 57c | 999.68$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9083…622ebacked Yes | 58c | 950.58$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 58c | 948.28$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.28 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…7eebbacked Yes | 52c | 919.31$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 42c | 899.97$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 56c | 893.5$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 57c | 880.55$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.64 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…626cbacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 58c | 862.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.06 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 65c | 799.99$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?this page
- Will Luxembourg win on 2025-11-17?No won
- Will Northern Ireland vs. Luxembourg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.