TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Jets, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$651,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$660,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $651,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jets31c120,000$37,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,999.9242552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Kraken43c82,498$35,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,023.617749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Kraken42c68,622$28,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,711.564264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Kraken80c51,455$41,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,408.4114538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Jets57c47,553$27,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,105.191,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Jets57c38,475$21,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,792.7532251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Kraken45c35,902$16,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,746.1911955.5%66 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Kraken48c20,010$9,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,408.352339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kraken18c20,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,399.9944848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jets55c18,026$9,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,914.588151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Kraken41c17,712$7,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,450.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Jets58c17,494$10,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,196.131,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken42c15,529$6,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0071,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Kraken27c13,442$3,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,822.274035%14 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jets57c12,271$6,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,967.742,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ad3…c366backed Jets58c11,702$6,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,78710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8897…26c2backed Kraken42c11,695$4,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,782.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kraken73c11,150$8,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,976.3161848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jets58c11,000$6,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,33089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jets55c10,319$5,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,675.362951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Kraken42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,8008657%49 W · 37 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Kraken42c9,500$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,509.9819451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jets53c8,736$4,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,666.382,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jets54c8,037$4,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,368.8192848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jets57c7,524$4,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,288.5247951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Jets36c7,258$2,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,601.6427143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa9e…a541backed Jets58c6,293$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,65010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65a5…3ba4backed Kraken42c6,288$2,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,647.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Kraken43c6,284$2,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,594.7951045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Jets59c4,569$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,69610658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Kraken45c4,400$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.9729651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jets31c4,323$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.721,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jets58c4,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,32093953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken44c3,735$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.351,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96c7…3133backed Jets55c3,662$2,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Kraken42c3,200$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,85622546.2%104 W · 121 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Jets56c3,086$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.4789249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken43c2,500$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.9697651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Kraken42c2,460$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.420147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jets54c2,332$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.892,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jets1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Jets59c2,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.9919645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Kraken41c1,972$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.3563249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a08…77e3backed Kraken42c1,905$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b4…0922backed Jets59c1,904$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.36560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Jets56c1,888$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.2775251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Jets55c1,800$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99020751.2%106 W · 101 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Jets55c1,780$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.7515954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Jets58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Kraken48c1,663$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.5411450.9%58 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Kraken43c1,629$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.7654047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Kraken45c1,550$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.524845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Jets56c1,524$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.391,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0a…8ca0backed Kraken44c1,500$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.9451044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Jets55c1,440$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.0614451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4779…7bcabacked Jets58c1,400$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8121752.9%9 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Kraken42c1,250$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.456648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Kraken20c1,248$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99818840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jets52c1,245$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.4599638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jets1c1,242$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.427450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Kraken42c1,210$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.81,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kraken74c1,188$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.561,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd60…ab55backed Kraken72c1,172$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.01250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Kraken69c1,124$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.652,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8005…abc0backed Jets38c1,120$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.561330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Jets6c1,100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Kraken29c1,095$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.4682043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Kraken45c1,058$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.832352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Jets58c1,055$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.481,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…e4c8backed Jets58c1,034$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9534…1fe8backed Jets57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57022852.6%120 W · 108 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Jets10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+48.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x18c3…0964backed Jets58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5801428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5216…fe0bbacked Jets17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets58c999.99$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.9966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Jets57c999.98$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9934845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Kraken77c997.2$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.3612552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf57…6dffbacked Kraken44c944.39$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.865058%29 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x669c…6c54backed Jets57c943.86$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5384967.3%33 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+30.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked Jets56c920.52$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.266063.3%38 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Jets55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets57c836.91$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.353,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Jets59c831.8$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.6413551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…2ed0backed Jets39c813.01$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jets57c800.01$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.6439047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44868449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35a4…23febacked Kraken42c800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4641050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed Jets55c715$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.254247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1f…06e3backed Jets57c715$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x615b…b862backed Kraken44c710$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c5…cb81backed Jets60c706.67$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4241861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a11…aab3backed Kraken41c705.88$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.471963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Jets57c703.95$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.4914643.8%64 W · 82 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kraken65c700.17$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.791,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Jets57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3995054%27 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Jets48c692.55$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.565947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jets55c690.3$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.6769550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken45c627.88$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.1489636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Jets57c622.48$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.595549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.