TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,444,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,514,250

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,444,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 3,171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed No57c101,273$57,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,734.488940.4%36 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff48…b0ecbacked Yes43c75,850$32,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,615.523237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Yes44c68,170$29,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,994.871770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c66,580$41,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,389.016,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes43c45,973$19,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,718.521,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No57c41,565$23,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,873.0521154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes43c30,000$12,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,90031947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c29,560$16,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,061.732,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No41c26,356$10,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,580.416650%33 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+58.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Yes43c23,256$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0005641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb90c…9a6abacked No58c21,500$12,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,077.215246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No57c18,765$10,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,091.4114450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ae5…8342backed No55c17,916$9,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,062.13771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes43c15,628$6,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,7205324.5%13 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed No34c15,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,9009646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No57c13,575$7,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,837.2510455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dd2…b035backed Yes1c12,899$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.675614.3%8 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed No55c12,749$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,748.7910737.4%40 W · 67 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes46c10,000$4,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,592.2511945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd545…047fbacked Yes43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,300250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes43c9,302$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0009636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No56c9,110$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,009.41,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No57c8,901$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,860.4140046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No54c8,233$4,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,795.1625836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No42c7,333$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,253.1449753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes62c7,015$4,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,341.8167042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d4c…f1a4backed Yes39c6,302$2,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.7890%0 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Yes45c6,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.994748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Yes46c5,858$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.894751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6cb…c6dcbacked No58c5,840$3,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10eb…8682backed Yes42c5,833$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5a…347bbacked Yes39c5,832$2,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,274.48666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+78.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No56c5,625$3,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4821,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x127d…61d6backed No58c5,490$3,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x017e…e490backed Yes42c5,479$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed No34c5,441$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,591.313154.8%17 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20037054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes45c5,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9750644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No54c4,975$2,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.392123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No76c4,935$3,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.045547.3%26 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e28…ee1bbacked Yes39c4,730$1,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,844.7683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+101.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes43c4,695$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,014.991,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No57c4,500$2,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9353060%18 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6773…e551backed No61c4,312$2,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed No59c4,272$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+67.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No57c4,200$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.978747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9714…1a10backed No61c4,136$2,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.04944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf4b…0c72backed No61c4,092$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.88862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+56.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2354…673abacked No61c4,020$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.81060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca40…6deabacked No57c4,000$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,720366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81a3…a00cbacked No61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.9919729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99a6…19d7backed No61c3,844$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd8e…1c82backed Yes39c3,708$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5543…a97fbacked No61c3,632$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.38850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…1188backed Yes39c3,450$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+33.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d3b…69c0backed Yes39c3,440$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.6862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x192a…d775backed No61c3,349$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.21728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick58cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No56c3,232$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.8225752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39a2…c62dbacked Yes39c3,198$1,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7542…fb53backed No61c3,131$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.09977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+77.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8b…6559backed No61c3,078$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.42666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16c…2810backed No61c3,074$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.86757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No57c2,972$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.8890751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b69…a195backed Yes39c2,807$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.73742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes42c2,783$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.161,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes7c2,777$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8425329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes46c2,725$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.53650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a58…c236backed Yes0c2,700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52231.8%7 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed No57c2,619$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.31145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbc…a287backed No61c2,606$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.34757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No59c2,544$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.6317042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe890…b9c2backed No61c2,537$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.4875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+84.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xee5d…dbc5backed Yes39c2,475$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.25825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-61.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes45c2,460$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1075752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes45c2,392$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.751,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed No68c2,390$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.763647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6da…08b2backed No61c2,363$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.57966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+40%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed No34c2,353$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.942123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd95…3ebfbacked Yes43c2,350$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.661428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes43c2,326$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004134.1%14 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xac53…378abacked Yes39c2,291$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.49742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef1b…4dbcbacked Yes39c2,275$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-60%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x137b…aa61backed Yes44c2,253$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca33…6680backed Yes39c2,124$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb23a…9442backed Yes39c1,953$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.67757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes45c1,887$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.1446651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3c3…598dbacked Yes39c1,874$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa920…7639backed No61c1,829$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.31837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-33.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a45…6ffabacked No61c1,805$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes45c1,778$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80049254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No40c1,737$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.662,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c5…57b1backed No61c1,726$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.14742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e6…fd61backed No58c1,711$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.811947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7691…4e20backed No61c1,679$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.81837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b6…cf3dbacked No61c1,644$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.16862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed No49c1,641$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.54887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+58.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes43c1,598$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.0429044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05d…148abacked Yes39c1,557$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.23633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ee9…00c8backed Yes39c1,554$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.06944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.