Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf795562bf33647ff62f87b18236b83ccaf5981f48559e3a7115a4ff152ea6367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 16,098$3,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.55 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 11,364$9,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.46 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 78c | 7,261$5,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.58 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 5,906$3,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.74 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 66c | 5,824$3,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.92 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 26c | 5,650$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.08 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 16c | 3,605$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.09 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 2,706$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.28 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 30c | 2,360$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 42c | 2,342$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.17 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 31c | 2,185$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.17 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 28c | 1,800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 72c | 1,709$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.49 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Yes | 24c | 1,666$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 72c | 1,581$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.69 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 73c | 1,075$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.25 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 74c | 796.25$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.76 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 21c | 729.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Yes | 14c | 668.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 603.54$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 25c | 575.64$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 40c | 532.68$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.91 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 43c | 504$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.28 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…3d76backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 22c | 484.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 26c | 440.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…ed14backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 75c | 405.72$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 358.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…5ab3backed Yes | 31c | 324.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 26c | 286.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 74c | 275.68$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.68 | 71 | 76.1%54 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Yes | 15c | 275.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…e0e1backed Yes | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 22c | 260.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 28c | 258.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.41 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked Yes | 22c | 250.91$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…4d9abacked Yes | 25c | 236.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 27c | 222$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb3…26aebacked Yes | 45c | 220.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed No | 73c | 217$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.15 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 24c | 213$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 27c | 205.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…080abacked Yes | 28c | 196$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 10c | 195.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 162 | 36.4%59 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 16c | 179.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…7395backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 25.3%38 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 24c | 171.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes | 26c | 169.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…36e8backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 148.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 72c | 140.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…648bbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…1c8dbacked Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 28c | 115.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 59c | 102.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd8…bfe0backed Yes | 28c | 101.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 28c | 100.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 235 | 31.1%73 W · 162 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 114 | 20.2%23 W · 91 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 73c | 95.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Yes | 26c | 88.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 58c | 87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…4fe9backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 23c | 82.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36b…d4d4backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…e41bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…d24cbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eea…929abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…28cebacked Yes | 19c | 74.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 22c | 73.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…e214backed No | 74c | 72.83$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…4426backed Yes | 20c | 72.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd020…06bcbacked Yes | 26c | 72.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 28c | 72.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ac77backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 30cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…3f7abacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8071…b139backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.