TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xffef…e214

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 53 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+521.1%+$409.04
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.5
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$452
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$425.34
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$151.37
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$149
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancebacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$217
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$223.85
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$153
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$330.38
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$389
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$204.23
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$124.36
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$177
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+181.3%+$313.15
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Rockets vs. Hawksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+49.7%+$44.26
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+59.9%+$49.68
Magic vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+50.6%+$48.03
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+153.6%+$106.01
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$17.81
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$19.13
Magic vs. Bullsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+58.2%+$19.79
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+51.5%+$23.7
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+252.9%+$29.34
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$58.6
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+58.7%+$15.74
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$86.5
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$82.3
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+108.1%+$76.75
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.84
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$100.13
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$59.79
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+163.2%+$48.95
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$39.91
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$141.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$97
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$249
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$43.08
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$37.92
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+156.4%+$25.03
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+111.6%+$75.88
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+87%+$190.02
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$53.3
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$99.2
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+77.9%+$224.74
Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.6%+$19.13
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+69.5%+$7.64
Arsenal vs. Tottenham: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+116.5%+$25.64
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.25
All 22 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$128.9
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$29.55
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$56
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$15.3
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.4
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$21.28
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.5
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$120.1
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+163.2%+$19.58
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Patriots vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+156.4%+$62.56
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$15.95
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$282.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$241
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+163.2%+$155
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$109.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+70.9%+$20.13
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+127.3%+$15.27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$125.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-62.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-50.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$63.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$30.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+35.9%+$124.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$27.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.