NBA · resolved market
Magic vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fc322c68723e7d66ccf795cdb8cf229ddb02e0e44b7d92e4d7818a6a8effab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Magic, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,520,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,749,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,520,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Magic | 34c | 261,352$88,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,859.53 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Cavaliers | 66c | 151,405$99,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,691.75 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Cavaliers | 65c | 111,512$72,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,877.52 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Magic | 0c | 100,179$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Magic | 35c | 85,714$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Magic | 42c | 79,392$33,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,200 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 74c | 63,445$46,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,809.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Magic | 32c | 60,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,199.96 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Cavaliers | 65c | 50,000$32,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,499.93 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 49,999$33,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,799.83 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Cavaliers | 68c | 46,118$31,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,908.61 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Magic | 34c | 45,000$15,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,079.21 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Cavaliers | 66c | 44,904$29,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,267.44 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622d…0adcbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 40,897$26,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,905.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d4…6805backed Magic | 35c | 40,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Magic | 32c | 39,730$12,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,584 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cavaliers | 66c | 38,382$25,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,909.25 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Magic | 4c | 33,396$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.27 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 66c | 30,141$19,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,229.65 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Magic | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,200 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Cavaliers | 65c | 30,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Magic | 17c | 28,406$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.85 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers | 65c | 25,993$16,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,027.17 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Magic | 0c | 22,998$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 65c | 22,785$14,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,963.07 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cavaliers | 57c | 22,649$12,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,760.47 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Magic | 3c | 22,419$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.38 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 22,217$10,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,268.91 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Magic | 35c | 22,000$7,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,619.99 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Cavaliers | 69c | 20,136$13,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,279.99 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…9828backed Magic | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Cavaliers | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,399.98 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Magic | 22c | 18,995$4,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,263.84 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 19c | 18,789$3,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 60c | 17,127$10,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,885.8 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Magic | 34c | 16,767$5,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,668.44 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79e5…9417backed Cavaliers | 68c | 16,317$11,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.35 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Magic | 35c | 15,783$5,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,524.16 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Cavaliers | 66c | 15,152$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,151.52 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Magic | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Cavaliers | 67c | 15,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.98 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Magic | 0c | 14,085$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Magic | 35c | 14,071$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Magic | 52c | 14,034$7,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,233.25 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Magic | 12c | 13,766$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.04 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Magic | 33c | 13,534$4,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,489.6 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Cavaliers | 66c | 13,432$8,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,566.82 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13e…b1dbbacked Magic | 34c | 13,000$4,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…0761backed Cavaliers | 65c | 13,000$8,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Magic | 47c | 12,261$5,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762.64 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Magic | 32c | 12,070$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.55 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Cavaliers | 67c | 12,000$8,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.99 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Magic | 47c | 10,290$4,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.37 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…4d18backed Magic | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Magic | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Magic | 37c | 9,524$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Cavaliers | 77c | 9,000$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Cavaliers | 66c | 8,952$5,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,013.15 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Magic | 6c | 8,550$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.99 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Cavaliers | 67c | 8,482$5,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.32 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…b37bbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 8,026$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.27 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 26c | 8,003$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.82 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Magic | 33c | 7,568$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.49 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Cavaliers | 65c | 7,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.99 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 7,478$4,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.9 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Cavaliers | 65c | 7,301$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.34 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…da3cbacked Magic | 34c | 7,300$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7777…1d3dbacked Cavaliers | 68c | 7,200$4,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Magic | 23c | 7,187$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.07 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Cavaliers | 66c | 7,174$4,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.32 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 6,794$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 66c | 6,772$4,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,295.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Magic | 20c | 6,380$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.28 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 8c | 6,156$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.35 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Magic | 35c | 6,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…b200backed Magic | 32c | 6,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed77…d9d0backed Cavaliers | 68c | 6,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.89 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Magic | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 39c | 5,106$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.79 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cavaliers | 66c | 5,083$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.33 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f70…9f21backed Cavaliers | 47c | 5,038$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Magic | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c9…cd97backed Cavaliers | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Magic | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Magic | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab7…bc7cbacked Magic | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.96 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9189…572fbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 4,967$3,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.36 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Magic | 36c | 4,820$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.86 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Magic | 33c | 4,800$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.03 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Cavaliers | 63c | 4,671$2,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.16 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Magic | 48c | 4,646$2,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Cavaliers | 66c | 4,521$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.09 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Cavaliers | 68c | 4,448$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.44 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…c084backed Magic | 34c | 4,443$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cavaliers | 67c | 4,386$2,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.37 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Cavaliers | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…1adbbacked Magic | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…f78ebacked Magic | 34c | 3,925$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.59 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Magic | 26c | 3,900$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.52 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Magic | 34c | 3,788$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.92 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Magic vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Anthony Black: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- De'Andre Hunter: Points O/U 10.5No won
- De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 223.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 224.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5Under won
- Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.