Champions League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31a8f3d6f191eca92e8c789cb1d898d6b2c8b5c5928f7ce580644cad0defd301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $565,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $556,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 628 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 55c | 69,975$38,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,488.65 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 45c | 65,000$29,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,435.43 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 46c | 45,593$20,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,841.56 | 298 | 46.3%138 W · 160 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d1…dbcbbacked Yes | 45c | 44,445$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 55c | 31,341$17,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,103.23 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 30,374$16,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,973.28 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 54c | 23,419$12,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,772.81 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 45c | 22,123$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 45c | 16,343$7,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,329.78 | 380 | 43.9%167 W · 213 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 14,484$7,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,593.53 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 14,067$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333.02 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 45c | 12,430$5,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,593.48 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 11,064$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,013.74 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 56c | 11,000$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,789.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 55c | 10,400$5,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,679.98 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 46c | 10,048$4,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,621.61 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.96 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 47c | 9,171$4,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,853.55 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 55c | 8,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…a696backed No | 56c | 7,400$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 54c | 7,313$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,364.12 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.86 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed No | 59c | 5,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.97 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 55c | 4,853$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.09 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 55c | 4,568$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.26 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 53c | 4,130$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.51 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 54c | 4,000$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,849.96 | 182 | 50.5%92 W · 90 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 54c | 3,800$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.99 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 39c | 3,607$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.28 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…3c7abacked Yes | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…8c00backed No | 55c | 3,211$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 55c | 3,005$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.13 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e39…07ddbacked Yes | 45c | 2,747$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 46c | 2,402$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.13 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 41c | 2,313$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.79 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b4…1014backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked No | 55c | 2,220$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.99 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +32%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 46c | 2,022$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.89 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 46c | 2,008$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.56 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 46c | 1,950$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed No | 57c | 1,834$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.19 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Yes | 44c | 1,816$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.04 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 55c | 1,770$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.85 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Yes | 56c | 1,733$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.42 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 48c | 1,727$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.88 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 46c | 1,724$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 46c | 1,721$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 55c | 1,701$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.6 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 45c | 1,700$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.93 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5421…f713backed Yes | 46c | 1,522$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.38 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 117 | 37.6%44 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 54c | 1,479$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.24 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…461abacked No | 52c | 1,476$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cd…2c61backed Yes | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 50c | 1,180$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x414f…29a2backed Yes | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked Yes | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 46c | 1,007$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…a65dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,003$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 54c | 999.98$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.99 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…6deabacked No | 55c | 999.91$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed No | 55c | 999.88$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.95 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 57c | 995$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.85 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…101bbacked Yes | 45c | 993.53$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…5d74backed Yes | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 45c | 894.78$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 55c | 888$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.6 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Yes | 45c | 880.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 69c | 876.74$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.67 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9d…992bbacked No | 47c | 848.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.48 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked Yes | 59c | 832.2$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 45c | 827.07$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.48 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354a…c9d1backed No | 56c | 800$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 42c | 800$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.92 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 55c | 797.72$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.98 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 46c | 760.87$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b8…0ee6backed Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccc…c862backed Yes | 69c | 724.78$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…1478backed Yes | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c3…0e32backed Yes | 67c | 686.57$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yes | 46c | 653.39$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31eb…ba4bbacked Yes | 62c | 640.47$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed No | 56c | 607.14$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed No | 56c | 603.13$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.37 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed No | 55c | 598.83$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 7c | 587.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 46c | 578.5$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.11 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?this page
- Will Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Atalanta BC win on 2025-12-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.