TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Atalanta BC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x87b6…4ababacked Yes62c16,180$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No43c8,542$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,892.5534342.3%145 W · 198 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Yes59c4,954$2,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No44c4,751$2,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,679.9246048.5%223 W · 237 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No73c3,000$2,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.9816349.1%80 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes13c2,893$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.621,54340.1%618 W · 925 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes45c2,881$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.642,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes28c2,597$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.2238043.9%167 W · 213 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes49c2,266$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.5535860.6%217 W · 141 L+21.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ee7…0ba8backed No47c2,213$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.544238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No73c2,188$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.752770.4%19 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes27c2,155$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.8839746.9%186 W · 211 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No66c1,995$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.6358248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No51c1,961$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.1824963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x2c84…2c7ebacked Yes51c1,474$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc4c…c36fbacked No73c958.9$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes24c824.29$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4837544%165 W · 210 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked No72c765.2$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.873461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+21.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes47c732.42$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8610744.9%48 W · 59 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes15c721.73$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.256633.3%22 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes28c714.29$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004425%11 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x117c…db06backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-43.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1355060%30 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13538748.3%187 W · 200 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6673…8a4cbacked Yes29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1163432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Yes51c353.87$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.473452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No51c333.7$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5112737%47 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No77c330$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.98959.6%53 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes17c300.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010330.1%31 W · 72 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34ac…86e4backed Yes26c273.39$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No61c271.07$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.0421745.6%99 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No74c267.57$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.571573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Yes31c256$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.181526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes27c232$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6420947.8%100 W · 109 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No80c213$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.64746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…ab51backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No73c187.3$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.578359%49 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No69c159$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6138343.1%165 W · 218 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.525859.7%154 W · 104 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes12c150$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18296.9%2 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+55.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes27c147$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6943427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No71c147$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6821760.8%132 W · 85 L+21.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f9f…d101backed Yes28c144.82$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4028840.3%116 W · 172 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.996076.7%46 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes67c134.03$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.84143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x300c…d650backed Yes16c130.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.941717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick28cpaid-53.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Yes58c129.31$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758142%34 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes28c117.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334250%21 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No61c116.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.419553.7%51 W · 44 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c1…c739backed Yes29c113.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb939…ed05backed No73c107.53$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0312100%12 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes28c105$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No72c100.11$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0317466.1%115 W · 59 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.472334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick16cpaid+125.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd574…425dbacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237132.4%23 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No73c99.56$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.882669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes18c96.83$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.431338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e1…cc69backed Yes28c96.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No46c92.59$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.065246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2280…3df3backed Yes28c85.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3277…33c9backed Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2560%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No67c82.15$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.293243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No73c78.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.279160.4%55 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Yes68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011735.9%42 W · 75 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208229.3%24 W · 58 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1170…8398backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked No72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6926…a128backed Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-79%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Yes22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22250%11 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No77c54.79$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.627750.2%139 W · 138 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8928…3729backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+96.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No73c52.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.259159.3%54 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No74c43.38$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.417140.8%29 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed No72c40.74$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.41666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa351…17c3backed Yes28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No50c35.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.078027.5%22 W · 58 L-9.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb433…f543backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5936…6e0dbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd6d…c733backed Yes61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-75.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8147…ab6cbacked Yes68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-39%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae51…984abacked No74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Yes56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d9f…0852backed No73c21.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831080%8 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked No73c21.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.641361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No71c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0910649.1%52 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.213048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd92a…31ebbacked Yes59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-46.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea1c…73e6backed No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcad…0a68backed No67c19.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.