La Liga · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57b237a88c19f723c46246389f05b1b633c3685d41c5767db24049d1c559980f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 32c | 2,353$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.97 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 2,327$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.56 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da5…e32ebacked Over | 69c | 1,143$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 69c | 1,087$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Under | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 17c | 968.71$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.07 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Over | 71c | 846$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.72 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 29c | 822$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.38 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 31c | 777.1$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.71 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Under | 44c | 590.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 76c | 543.72$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Over | 69c | 517.62$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.46 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…fb3abacked Over | 69c | 425.1$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Under | 31c | 321.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Under | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +8.2wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 30c | 261.05$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 56c | 228$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7052…74aebacked Under | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 71c | 167.01$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Over | 68c | 166.82$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb38…b7c7backed Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 70c | 155.84$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…7e58backed Over | 69c | 127$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Over | 69c | 104.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…ab23backed Over | 73c | 96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Over | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…c0fabacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 30c | 66.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 69c | 65.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…e214backed Over | 69c | 63.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4878…a494backed Under | 33c | 60.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 21c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Over | 71c | 49.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57aa…04c5backed Under | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa543…d47ebacked Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…a886backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x727c…c1f5backed Over | 69c | 36.12$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…2286backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc8…8198backed Over | 70c | 28.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…da44backed Over | 56c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ba…360dbacked Over | 65c | 25.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf011…515bbacked Over | 69c | 21.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…df0bbacked Over | 69c | 21.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…78aebacked Over | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f21…8b6abacked Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…493fbacked Over | 68c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…bfacbacked Over | 69c | 16.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Over | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5this page
- Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.