La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f525c06a02c9d5d769ba632fff5686303a703efe48e41de51765b778aa22bb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Barcelona, Atletico Madrid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Atletico Madrid | 66c | 15,122$9,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,980.62 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Barcelona | 34c | 3,896$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.36 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Barcelona | 34c | 3,532$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.25 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Atletico Madrid | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Barcelona | 31c | 2,370$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.06 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Barcelona | 25c | 2,335$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.31 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Barcelona | 34c | 1,756$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.19 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Barcelona | 24c | 1,172$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.72 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Barcelona | 34c | 754.54$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Barcelona | 34c | 599.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.99 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Barcelona | 34c | 541.68$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.51 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Barcelona | 32c | 399.97$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.98 | 85 | 25.9%22 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Atletico Madrid | 69c | 347.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Atletico Madrid | 55c | 329.4$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.08 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Barcelona | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Atletico Madrid | 66c | 299.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 34c | 296$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.36 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Barcelona | 34c | 257.91$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.22 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ca…5ed4backed Barcelona | 37c | 202.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…7e61backed Barcelona | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Barcelona | 33c | 180.61$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.01 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ff…2fffbacked Atletico Madrid | 68c | 162.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…28b4backed Barcelona | 34c | 147.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Atletico Madrid | 71c | 141.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Atletico Madrid | 66c | 130$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Atletico Madrid | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Atletico Madrid | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Atletico Madrid | 67c | 120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Barcelona | 34c | 106.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +196.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Barcelona | 36c | 103.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Atletico Madrid | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7543…1852backed Barcelona | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Barcelona | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Atletico Madrid | 66c | 90$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 266 | 41.4%110 W · 156 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Atletico Madrid | 76c | 87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Barcelona | 29c | 79.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f5…544fbacked Atletico Madrid | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Barcelona | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Atletico Madrid | 67c | 52.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…a6a1backed Atletico Madrid | 66c | 49.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Barcelona | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Barcelona | 32c | 43.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Atletico Madrid | 63c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Barcelona | 32c | 40.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 262 | 42.7%112 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Atletico Madrid | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Barcelona | 35c | 38.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f43…1754backed Atletico Madrid | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atletico Madrid | 63c | 29.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb714…4b06backed Barcelona | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…c5c6backed Atletico Madrid | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Atletico Madrid | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…a18fbacked Atletico Madrid | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4a…fdd5backed Atletico Madrid | 71c | 18.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ef…d800backed Atletico Madrid | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…a823backed Atletico Madrid | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Barcelona (-1.5)this page
- Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 1.5Over won
- Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5Over won
- Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.