TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$155,508

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No32c20,715$6,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,677.352,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked Yes72c20,374$14,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,667.743417.6%6 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No30c20,038$6,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,008.932828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No43c16,278$6,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,937.6211848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No53c9,340$4,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,914.312050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes44c6,439$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,619.026245.2%28 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes57c4,626$2,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.982941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No41c2,611$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.0496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No15c2,504$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.223244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No47c2,128$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.5735646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No8c2,028$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.921233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No16c1,687$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.021844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid-0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes58c1,621$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.698334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a03…c37ebacked Yes59c1,456$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.93450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes60c1,281$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.598659.3%51 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes61c1,152$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.6424939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.066046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Yes52c1,003$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.442470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No43c999.47$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.7711837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Yes46c859.11$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.111346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes56c848.21$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.212650%13 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes58c819.2$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.9144753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes48c752.53$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.0613754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf5b…6e33backed Yes57c750$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Yes43c730$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No59c714.17$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.363633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Yes55c708.91$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Yes52c705.13$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.462391.3%21 W · 2 L+6.4wins+0.28per pick64cpaid+48.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Yes79c636.91$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.82365.2%15 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes47c536.72$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.467337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No42c511$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.624245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes41c502.17$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No42c499.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes58c489.99$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.84367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x532f…4708backed Yes41c484.49$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes58c482.76$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.766850%34 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes58c474.45$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.322441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No41c431.28$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.752619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes58c427.59$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.599046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes59c423.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.739953.5%53 W · 46 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No40c409.76$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.638744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e5e…93ccbacked Yes59c365.66$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.921346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd358…0a62backed Yes58c341.72$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce0…5fcabacked Yes59c337.5$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.292254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No39c333.41$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.035935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No14c320.34$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.644717%8 W · 39 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-73.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17114254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes56c290.96$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0212565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Yes59c281.36$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.364955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed Yes55c273.49$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3113639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes59c271.19$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.19666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes59c267.8$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.84858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc89…4ca1backed Yes77c258.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes58c258.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.621643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92ab…2b99backed Yes58c253$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed No43c232.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002055%11 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes57c225.13$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.0212649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes49c217.27$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8112035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No40c212.06$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.6220143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed No25c205.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.294151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10015623.7%37 W · 119 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Yes61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Yes58c193.83$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.412487.5%21 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.27per pick61cpaid+46.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes41c185$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.158858%51 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb375…59d6backed No42c184.81$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.291926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf270…6015backed No55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.576243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa3dc…d8b2backed Yes59c177.97$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.974100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51d1…4ca4backed Yes58c174.1$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1be0…dc27backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bf9…5d1bbacked Yes47c171.79$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes69c171$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8532843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9776…fc56backed Yes49c163.2$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.23046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf3b…7e31backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No38c161.29$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2912923.3%30 W · 99 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x111b…ccdebacked Yes42c160.42$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes58c159$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7827737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes58c155.17$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1733951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed No41c151$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9112049.2%59 W · 61 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Yes58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.259846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes58c123$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6613840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes58c119$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x024e…2e48backed Yes57c110$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.33650%18 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+41.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18de…0b64backed Yes57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3067…b8e5backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3238…1521backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06e0…7934backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd87…01a9backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4316842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes61c98.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.365563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f10…8ac6backed No61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.