Serie A · resolved market
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfba67599e3934f6be0c8fed454204970b89d10d3cfea7c95157ab4b1404acf52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 17c | 6,903$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.4 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 3,050$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…d3c1backed Yes | 16c | 1,163$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 17c | 970.4$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +6.8wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa8…645bbacked Yes | 19c | 930$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Yes | 3c | 905.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Yes | 11c | 783$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 33%66 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 16c | 435.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 12c | 407.5$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 5c | 333$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +7.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +285.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 78c | 288.7$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 253$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee04…9612backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 17c | 180$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 165.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 18c | 159.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 17c | 119.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Yes | 17c | 114.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 77c | 102.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd9…49f6backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65b…1669backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed Yes | 19c | 81.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…3403backed Yes | 20c | 68.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…f191backed Yes | 17c | 60.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111b…ccdebacked Yes | 19c | 51.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…2b0abacked No | 80c | 17.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SS Lazio win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will AC Milan vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?No won
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.