TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,615,869
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,616,812

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,615,869 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 947 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes52c241,187$125,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,143.395352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes52c147,622$76,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,763.681747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c127,590$70,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,692.936,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c87,699$46,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,663.612,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No48c59,858$28,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,142.0527750.9%141 W · 136 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Yes38c58,316$22,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,426.193336.4%12 W · 21 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No49c53,427$25,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,472.222774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+38.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No48c48,334$23,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,132.697750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes51c45,911$23,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,627.731,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No48c42,960$20,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,334.8721853.2%116 W · 102 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No48c40,922$19,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,169.15271.2%37 W · 15 L+9.2wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+33.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No50c39,352$19,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,701.8124846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No48c36,575$17,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,937.4520140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes51c31,522$16,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,035.41,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No48c29,066$13,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,110.177542.7%32 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No48c24,221$11,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,494.745356.6%30 W · 23 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No33c22,188$7,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,784.076015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No48c21,102$10,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,973.0114450.7%73 W · 71 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes52c20,000$10,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,339.392828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d5b…a718backed Yes53c20,000$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,6001241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-32.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes46c20,000$9,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,1509845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No48c19,057$9,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,882.1418950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No47c18,974$8,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,016.4231944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes31c18,000$5,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,579.01728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No49c17,730$8,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,049.331,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked No51c15,594$7,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,641.122458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No53c12,866$6,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,057.2910057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed No48c12,348$5,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,420.872466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+34%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06a8…2927backed Yes44c12,191$5,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,341.121323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes49c10,512$5,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,121.741,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No49c10,370$5,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,281.438747.1%41 W · 46 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No49c10,175$4,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,189.112123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes53c10,126$5,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,31711945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00025752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…3ef9backed Yes23c9,500$2,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,184.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes55c9,076$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No52c8,741$4,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,167.358853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No49c8,509$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,353.7169772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes51c7,646$3,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf0a…70a0backed Yes58c7,569$4,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,366.892850%14 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No50c7,054$3,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,530.3110962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No61c6,587$4,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,565.582,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No49c6,503$3,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,315.510148.5%49 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No40c6,400$2,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,870.7356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes52c6,278$3,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,281.146240.3%25 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1209246.7%43 W · 49 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed No49c6,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0602556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No50c6,000$2,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,007.4514254.2%77 W · 65 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No49c5,922$2,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.7215748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No48c5,876$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.4335652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No49c5,841$2,862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,978.858750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1713…878bbacked Yes51c5,647$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a9…52f7backed No48c5,634$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No75c5,555$4,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,388.7516851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes55c5,487$3,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.011921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8644…02d2backed Yes45c4,937$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,230.552050%10 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked No3c4,853$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,729.145232.7%17 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+210.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes52c4,808$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No48c4,634$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.0922744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed No48c4,594$2,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,405.572356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes39c4,499$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.7719729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No59c4,388$2,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,784.31,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No49c4,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0604953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0007754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes47c4,000$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8805942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No58c4,000$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,679.94366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes29c3,903$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.865448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bea…f95abacked Yes37c3,448$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.4811234.8%39 W · 73 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No49c3,393$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.325862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed No49c3,385$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,712.749244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…58ebbacked Yes31c3,220$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6c3…6ff7backed Yes48c3,114$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+121.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No49c3,101$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.731,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddef…d52bbacked Yes52c2,883$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+138.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe137…0c01backed Yes46c2,875$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3364438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed No49c2,857$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.144252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No49c2,848$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.0414147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe3b…7b99backed Yes0c2,800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes47c2,728$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.5225551.8%132 W · 123 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No49c2,702$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.1739156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No50c2,667$1,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.9210159.4%60 W · 41 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes23c2,539$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.241,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30020646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3002147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No78c2,494$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.5641344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Yes52c2,308$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-49.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b89…8c32backed Yes52c2,308$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.3349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked No48c2,061$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.784748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No49c2,032$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.5153134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe328…f4a3backed Yes44c2,028$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002740.7%11 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick28cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No49c2,015$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.651668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+64.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbbdc…9da2backed Yes50c2,001$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.743948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed Yes47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.014643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes53c1,909$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.627448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Yes45c1,871$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85022534.2%77 W · 148 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes52c1,869$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.7125648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.