TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$434,634
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$480,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $434,634 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yes5c66,160$3,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,533.694,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1f…d0bbbacked Yes23c24,450$5,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,652.772832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes29c12,687$3,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,671.756,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes41c10,234$4,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,208.251,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked No56c10,000$5,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,384.912828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes44c8,833$3,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,927.555752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No56c8,000$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52017042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No77c6,625$5,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,523.8110057%57 W · 43 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No79c5,221$4,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.871,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No73c5,207$3,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.774643.5%20 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c4,375$3,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.192,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802b…8548backed Yes23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes24c4,150$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99668026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b0…f9f4backed No57c4,005$2,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.28757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9607754.5%42 W · 35 L+6.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Yes24c3,927$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.1839156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No76c2,749$2,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.8538649%189 W · 197 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No58c2,660$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.456453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes37c2,456$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.711,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No53c2,426$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.7836954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Yes45c2,187$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.052259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked Yes23c2,186$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.742846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf516…79a0backed No57c2,104$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.661154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4407759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54015944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54015748.4%76 W · 81 L+13.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Yes23c2,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.99175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick18cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked No52c1,750$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.1220646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2015…3ddcbacked No59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.921136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Yes23c1,672$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.55127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Yes44c1,589$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.12850%14 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes32c1,560$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.488853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf957…d5a6backed Yes20c1,488$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001010%1 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-69.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x583f…2dabbacked Yes22c1,452$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.995232.7%17 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+210.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd483…6365backed Yes1c1,436$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.362339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-40.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x125e…992cbacked No75c1,433$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.665276.9%40 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5a93…5804backed Yes13c1,359$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed No77c1,351$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.797250%36 W · 36 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes25c1,322$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4614147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes25c1,310$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.021,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c9…4b20backed Yes5c1,100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.485446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes7c1,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7023325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40010751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes10c999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.925836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Yes20c987.65$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b34…294cbacked Yes28c975.27$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.96714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick44cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes25c933.02$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.7268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bf…345abacked Yes13c900$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.577833.3%26 W · 52 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e7d…eedcbacked Yes23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008242.7%35 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes40c780$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No75c760.31$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.2742043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No68c739.86$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5325530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbc44…3b40backed No56c734.01$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.093141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa875…ca8dbacked No56c714.29$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.291464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes24c708.33$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1706437.5%24 W · 40 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+47.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e91…6d1dbacked Yes23c705.87$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked No77c700$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1614050%20 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes15c681$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.1511227.7%31 W · 81 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4abe…63c0backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed No76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.896956.5%39 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc283…f286backed Yes46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No69c642.51$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.131,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No57c614.04$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.0430050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefbd…8086backed Yes40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24017544%77 W · 98 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No76c580.06$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.211,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa6…4465backed Yes18c578.39$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.112832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e2…018dbacked Yes24c555.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.669246.7%43 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No70c554.73$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.2412055%66 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x659c…85bbbacked Yes46c521.74$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2403647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7408…cf2ebacked Yes12c500.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.091526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f0…c63cbacked No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1153100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf536…e40cbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017234.9%60 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9953…4fa0backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38f…daaebacked Yes23c423$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2950%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes40c415.38$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.266134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yes48c409.15$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde8…15a1backed No74c404.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.74683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No64c402$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6216238.3%62 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…785abacked Yes50c401.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011446.5%53 W · 61 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes41c400$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16422744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes25c399.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9530050.3%151 W · 149 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Yes41c391.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.71933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes23c391.3$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9040841.9%171 W · 237 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23c3…bdf4backed No60c391.21$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.833873.7%28 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+48.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd0e1…3f6bbacked Yes50c389.37$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5baf…3904backed No80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751560%9 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes25c370$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.522458.9%132 W · 92 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes25c355.08$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3532453.1%172 W · 152 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Yes20c348.8$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.76911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-70%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec0…497bbacked No56c346$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.241258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes15c344.44$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.932,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes24c340.96$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.834139%16 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes24c332.96$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9112324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No60c330.37$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.7996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.