F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c2852b25ddd9ca62faf00a70518ee305366f78fc4a8a8e3e3350840b95d93ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 42c | 22,431$9,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,078.91 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 58c | 21,543$12,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,509.89 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 61c | 21,029$12,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,878.25 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 62c | 17,791$10,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,966.64 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 58c | 9,095$5,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784.44 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…8e99backed Yes | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 60c | 8,987$5,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,391.93 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 7c | 6,077$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.54 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Yes | 41c | 5,583$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,309.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 29c | 5,500$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 59c | 4,664$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.89 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 62c | 4,664$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.52 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 49c | 4,228$2,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.7 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…b954backed Yes | 40c | 3,746$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5e…e779backed Yes | 40c | 3,718$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 40c | 3,536$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.64 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ea…0b14backed Yes | 77c | 2,997$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa7…e0afbacked Yes | 35c | 2,869$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 35c | 2,516$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b0…8de6backed Yes | 42c | 2,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 13c | 2,327$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.62 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 55c | 1,958$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.9 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 39c | 1,895$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed No | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed No | 64c | 1,435$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.76 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…45eebacked Yes | 42c | 1,198$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.26 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes | 37c | 1,170$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3844…7285backed Yes | 37c | 1,097$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.61 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 64c | 1,095$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.8 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 16c | 1,010$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 64c | 1,001$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.18 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3665…0212backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed No | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 38c | 999.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 64c | 980.94$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed No | 61c | 926.92$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 67c | 900$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ad…ba8abacked Yes | 37c | 850$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Yes | 41c | 848.51$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 64c | 847.45$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.18 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b33…9b98backed Yes | 37c | 840.54$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.54 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 61c | 799.97$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…2569backed Yes | 74c | 755$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.05 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 23c | 712.66$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.66 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 34c | 634$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 30c | 586.52$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…8e83backed No | 29c | 567.7$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…ee9bbacked No | 21c | 563.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked Yes | 38c | 554.09$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e16…7017backed Yes | 37c | 503.33$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…5e0cbacked Yes | 41c | 501.19$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6974…1287backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 40c | 499.95$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b2…2171backed No | 64c | 494.99$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 58c | 470.27$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.27 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked No | 60c | 416.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed No | 63c | 399.97$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 20c | 387$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 61c | 371.08$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.94 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 61c | 369.56$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.43 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 39c | 365.72$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 37c | 352$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.42 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…303fbacked No | 66c | 326.45$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 80c | 310$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…79d4backed No | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…6937backed No | 28c | 293.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed No | 47c | 292$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…69f5backed Yes | 36c | 279.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.47 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…c569backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…fbd1backed Yes | 38c | 264.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed Yes | 38c | 250.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.22 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked No | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa8…026dbacked No | 25c | 244$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18e…d05fbacked Yes | 40c | 237.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.16 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…9574backed Yes | 57c | 229$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 77c | 222.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 39c | 222.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b18cbacked Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…5261backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed No | 18c | 190.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9927…445ebacked Yes | 52c | 180$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f3…bb98backed Yes | 35c | 171.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked No | 60c | 170.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed No | 59c | 168.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9f…91dbbacked No | 60c | 165$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…e214backed No | 62c | 158.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…a48ebacked No | 65c | 154.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccca…4c02backed Yes | 42c | 154.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.42 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…42e1backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…09c8backed No | 29c | 143.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bef…1ecabacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…5a7dbacked Yes | 40c | 139.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 63c | 137$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.