F1 · resolved market
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0c0e429546a295c7116cb7e284b5e7bf06c6d87c751446cb6727c164be4b443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 9c | 10,215$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.29 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…cec7backed Yes | 15c | 6,434$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 8c | 4,000$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.62 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…981dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,560$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Yes | 9c | 3,330$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…5261backed Yes | 8c | 1,700$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 80c | 1,665$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.03 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 12c | 1,417$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.28 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 8c | 1,383$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 16c | 1,370$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.25 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 12c | 1,337$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.75 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25a2…4033backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ab…ac7cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,111$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,015$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,003$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.86 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…633bbacked Yes | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Yes | 8c | 999.96$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 8c | 902.96$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…edfabacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed Yes | 9c | 617.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…705ebacked Yes | 11c | 609.77$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…be44backed Yes | 3c | 605$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 9c | 601$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 9c | 588.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb072…72f8backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…f5ffbacked Yes | 8c | 552.2$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3665…0212backed Yes | 35c | 500$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 11c | 460.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 23c | 457$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 433.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 7c | 389$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x262f…980abacked Yes | 13c | 385$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa221…5b1fbacked Yes | 13c | 301.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 6c | 300.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e1…1728backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 7c | 294.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…ee9bbacked Yes | 11c | 284.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…f11ebacked Yes | 37c | 271.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…5a7dbacked Yes | 8c | 263.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…bbebbacked Yes | 6c | 262.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 73c | 236.55$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37a…50f2backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0065…02f3backed Yes | 22c | 221$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed Yes | 18c | 162.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 160$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 17c | 154.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf7…d6a5backed Yes | 16c | 150.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed Yes | 17c | 149.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf441…3c08backed Yes | 20c | 138.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a1…70e2backed Yes | 18c | 127.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…a90abacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…3089backed Yes | 18c | 110.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…2569backed Yes | 15c | 101.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 19c | 101.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…0ba4backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…9574backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…487dbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3091…68b1backed Yes | 16c | 71.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…0a55backed Yes | 17c | 68.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad5…1689backed Yes | 20c | 56.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…ff83backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 77c | 39.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 64c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…5f7ebacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 66c | 25.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 70c | 25.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.