F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e3eeac9ee14cefc088c700e32710281b9681807a852a5850d13fabbf74ab452
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,337
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 58c | 26,654$15,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,083.93 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked No | 59c | 16,059$9,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,601.22 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…963abacked Yes | 24c | 10,786$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…8e99backed Yes | 56c | 7,622$4,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,248.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 69c | 7,170$4,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.57 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 52c | 7,065$3,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 65c | 7,049$4,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.7 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 47c | 6,572$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,082.24 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 53c | 6,466$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.92 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 25c | 5,662$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.1 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Yes | 47c | 5,336$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 52c | 5,221$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 23c | 4,287$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…559dbacked No | 63c | 4,021$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed No | 53c | 3,773$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 54c | 3,649$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ea…0b14backed Yes | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Yes | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…66abbacked Yes | 24c | 2,722$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 47c | 2,713$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a11…ee9bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,613$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.09 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 48c | 2,496$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.58 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 79c | 2,012$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.27 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…f11ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,998$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…7f59backed Yes | 47c | 1,653$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.9 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b70…6e9fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,633$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 60c | 1,592$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.79 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 76c | 1,391$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.23 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 10c | 1,366$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 46c | 1,298$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked Yes | 48c | 1,250$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1c…a94dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,117$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed No | 63c | 1,106$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.43 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 54c | 1,100$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,024$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 66c | 1,015$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.92 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 12c | 1,002$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x408c…8816backed Yes | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed No | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Yes | 50c | 999.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed No | 55c | 979.36$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21e…0215backed No | 78c | 979.26$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.1 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 72c | 938.28$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.27 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Yes | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…5e0cbacked Yes | 34c | 872.14$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 74c | 832.26$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.59 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked No | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…99a4backed No | 57c | 774.31$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +321.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4489…2452backed Yes | 46c | 700$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…f246backed Yes | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f47…c792backed Yes | 46c | 700$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b3…c5eabacked Yes | 46c | 699.95$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ab…ac7cbacked Yes | 24c | 660.42$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.74 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 79c | 600$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 44c | 595$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.2 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 46c | 555$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.3 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 42c | 542$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.86 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Yes | 26c | 520.48$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 63c | 499.13$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.46 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 48c | 463.94$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.69 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…454bbacked Yes | 45c | 444.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 16c | 400$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked No | 53c | 399.97$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 47c | 386.55$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 367.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 9c | 360$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 72c | 354.87$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc354…bf7bbacked Yes | 54c | 333.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…5a40backed Yes | 6c | 331.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 7c | 331$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…69f5backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed Yes | 32c | 315.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2c…94c5backed Yes | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b64…aa5cbacked No | 76c | 300$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…3a41backed Yes | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…705ebacked Yes | 44c | 295.37$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…369dbacked Yes | 47c | 286.04$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 49c | 285.54$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.68 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…0a49backed Yes | 7c | 276.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x262f…980abacked Yes | 9c | 265$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c5…3533backed Yes | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…397bbacked Yes | 11c | 236.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 71c | 222.83$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa18e…d05fbacked Yes | 48c | 220$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3309…be44backed Yes | 19c | 218$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 47c | 213.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…cd14backed Yes | 47c | 210$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 29cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes | 26c | 210$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x720a…bbebbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ced…c09cbacked Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x025a…b035backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 50c | 196.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdb…62e0backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.