F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb05b1b0c2eddf6086b78e1b57ccc6e40ab116059b30c7170ec2af3128930534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 4c | 11,200$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yes | 0c | 10,704$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,871$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…4a47backed Yes | 4c | 2,345$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…f44dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,223$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 7c | 1,150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb072…72f8backed Yes | 5c | 1,065$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375d…45a3backed Yes | 5c | 1,042$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…f5ffbacked Yes | 4c | 954.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…f11ebacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed Yes | 8c | 815.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…705ebacked Yes | 7c | 749.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed Yes | 7c | 429.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a9…0508backed Yes | 5c | 422.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 5c | 389$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…d559backed Yes | 3c | 372.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…5a7dbacked Yes | 5c | 351.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e1…1728backed Yes | 4c | 248.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9abbbacked Yes | 4c | 247.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb6…5ba8backed Yes | 4c | 247.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…9362backed Yes | 4c | 244.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7189…a1adbacked Yes | 4c | 244.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 8c | 208.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…3a41backed Yes | 10c | 194.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 25cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…ed40backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…befabacked Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…dcc7backed Yes | 7c | 169.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…b0c6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…d1c3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.