TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdd9b…705e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST6656.1%37 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Myles Garrett win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38.75
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.9%+$21.87
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Cowboys vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$15.08
Broncos vs. Commandersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+57.2%+$31.44
Bears vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$37.72
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$11.25
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.25
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+49%+$53.85
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+793.9%+$182.6
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$299
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.98
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+68.8%+$139.51
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.7%+$14.11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-87.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$117.5
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.21
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$25.12
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 10 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 20, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auburn vs. Oklahomabacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Kent State vs. Florida Statebacked Kent State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+681.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+681.5%+$88.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$66.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+154.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford backed Crawford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+154.6%+$270.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marlins vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Sep 9, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$5.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.8%+$3.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+26.9%+$3.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$389
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.