NFL · resolved market
Commanders vs. Dolphins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2782940243313a63441048fad0f4e03a10357a6ce580696e94089ae65e0fa5ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dolphinsof Commanders, Dolphins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,509,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,800,071
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,509,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 950 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Commanders | 43c | 1,129,431$488,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488,729.5 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Dolphins | 57c | 702,003$400,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301,881.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Dolphins | 56c | 401,803$225,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,666.95 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Dolphins | 49c | 222,788$109,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,342.84 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Dolphins | 57c | 151,450$86,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,123.5 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Commanders | 46c | 148,004$68,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,768.57 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Commanders | 43c | 100,000$43,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,000 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Dolphins | 56c | 75,716$42,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,124.42 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Commanders | 43c | 70,000$30,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,100 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Dolphins | 56c | 61,589$34,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,113.82 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Commanders | 45c | 55,982$25,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,143.36 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Dolphins | 57c | 54,410$30,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,496.43 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Commanders | 44c | 50,730$22,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,350.41 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Commanders | 44c | 45,000$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,799.99 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd52…0001backed Dolphins | 56c | 44,135$24,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,419.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Dolphins | 44c | 43,233$19,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,180.28 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Dolphins | 59c | 42,128$24,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,399.98 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Dolphins | 55c | 41,628$23,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,566.32 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Commanders | 35c | 40,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked Commanders | 44c | 40,000$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,600 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Commanders | 43c | 38,821$16,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,692.87 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Dolphins | 53c | 38,486$20,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,279.41 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Dolphins | 55c | 38,012$20,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,082.95 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Dolphins | 56c | 35,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,400 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…2493backed Commanders | 56c | 27,755$15,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,464.14 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Dolphins | 56c | 26,081$14,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,500.06 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Dolphins | 56c | 26,000$14,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,440 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Dolphins | 57c | 23,088$13,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,938.5 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1c…f13cbacked Dolphins | 60c | 21,978$13,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,730.36 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Commanders | 50c | 20,300$10,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,150 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed Commanders | 20c | 19,163$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.7 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Dolphins | 56c | 17,369$9,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,642.36 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Commanders | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a5…6a63backed Commanders | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Commanders | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.92 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…dcbbbacked Commanders | 69c | 14,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Dolphins | 56c | 14,127$7,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,215.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Dolphins | 57c | 14,035$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,035.09 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Dolphins | 43c | 13,919$6,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,876.58 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Commanders | 43c | 13,482$5,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,827.04 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Dolphins | 78c | 12,940$10,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…0812backed Dolphins | 57c | 12,652$7,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Commanders | 42c | 12,355$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,188.98 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dolphins | 56c | 12,000$6,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Commanders | 44c | 11,224$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked Commanders | 44c | 10,500$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,620 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Dolphins | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6120…1facbacked Commanders | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dolphins | 50c | 9,943$5,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,936.15 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Dolphins | 55c | 9,649$5,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,342.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b19…30aebacked Dolphins | 56c | 9,150$5,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,026 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…746cbacked Commanders | 44c | 9,100$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…d943backed Dolphins | 56c | 9,100$5,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,004 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554e…1cddbacked Commanders | 44c | 9,100$4,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,004 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fa…f205backed Commanders | 44c | 9,050$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,994.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad0…a24ebacked Dolphins | 56c | 9,050$5,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Dolphins | 57c | 8,737$4,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,756.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Dolphins | 41c | 8,471$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.14 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Dolphins | 56c | 8,212$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.38 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Dolphins | 60c | 8,150$4,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.12 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Dolphins | 57c | 7,941$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,440.64 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Dolphins | 51c | 7,849$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,851.44 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Commanders | 43c | 7,674$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Dolphins | 60c | 7,407$4,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.88 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Commanders | 67c | 7,000$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…f932backed Commanders | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…6c60backed Commanders | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Commanders | 44c | 6,687$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Dolphins | 38c | 6,600$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,097.01 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478d…9ea9backed Dolphins | 56c | 6,500$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Commanders | 44c | 6,500$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Dolphins | 57c | 6,468$3,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.42 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Commanders | 53c | 6,184$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.54 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Dolphins | 57c | 6,162$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.94 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Commanders | 45c | 6,156$2,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,770 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Dolphins | 57c | 5,500$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Commanders | 49c | 5,200$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…9241backed Commanders | 44c | 5,193$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Dolphins | 56c | 5,191$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.5 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Commanders | 46c | 5,154$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.39 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…c034backed Commanders | 34c | 5,071$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dolphins | 56c | 5,042$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.28 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Dolphins | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Dolphins | 58c | 4,898$2,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.38 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dolphins | 64c | 4,650$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.08 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Commanders | 73c | 4,575$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dolphins | 70c | 4,525$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.52 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Dolphins | 75c | 4,523$3,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.1 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Commanders | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Dolphins | 41c | 4,456$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fd…5838backed Dolphins | 55c | 4,444$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.81 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Dolphins | 57c | 4,444$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.92 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Dolphins | 57c | 4,217$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…f18dbacked Dolphins | 57c | 4,217$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5aa…a24bbacked Dolphins | 57c | 4,217$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Dolphins | 58c | 4,187$2,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.54 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Commanders | 43c | 4,162$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,789.66 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Commanders | 35c | 4,150$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.33 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Dolphins | 64c | 4,139$2,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.22 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Commanders | 43c | 4,130$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.25 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Commanders vs. Dolphinsthis page
- Commanders vs. Dolphins: 1H O/U 24.5Under won
- Commanders vs. Dolphins: O/U 46.5Under won
- Commanders vs. Dolphins: O/U 47.5Under won
- Spread: Commanders (-1.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Dolphins (-1.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Dolphins (-2.5)Dolphins won
- Spread: Dolphins (-3.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.