Middle East · resolved market
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e5dd56e494bac55a67a36b7044cefd95dfe7bf8c893f7d82a58c9681990100d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,672,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,417,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,672,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 877 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 11c | 531,724$57,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,964.03 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed No | 75c | 148,241$110,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,274.37 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…1076backed Yes | 39c | 107,616$42,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,003.29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5461…d939backed No | 69c | 92,522$63,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,681.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ba…484ebacked Yes | 31c | 92,522$28,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,681.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f2…0587backed Yes | 5c | 62,226$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.04 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f96…1da6backed Yes | 35c | 60,217$21,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,075.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x010f…5380backed No | 65c | 60,217$39,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,075.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…3779backed Yes | 30c | 55,733$16,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,719.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…7aabbacked No | 70c | 55,733$39,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,719.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4107…e29cbacked No | 76c | 48,637$36,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,754.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 45,769$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.42 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 18c | 40,226$7,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,243.38 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed Yes | 24c | 35,676$8,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,574.93 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed Yes | 5c | 26,874$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.83 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked Yes | 1c | 26,608$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.85 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 6c | 26,312$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.86 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 75c | 23,669$17,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,920.95 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 21c | 21,551$4,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427.54 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c8…f51abacked Yes | 11c | 21,377$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.82 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…cafebacked No | 62c | 19,224$11,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,392.43 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…fe9dbacked Yes | 15c | 19,062$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.93 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 16c | 18,780$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970.03 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 29c | 17,066$4,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,974.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked Yes | 17c | 14,682$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.09 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 78c | 13,901$10,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.25 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes | 15c | 13,800$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…19dabacked Yes | 31c | 12,826$4,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.58 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 22c | 12,278$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.06 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…067ebacked Yes | 6c | 12,115$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…cdbfbacked Yes | 29c | 12,000$3,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,513.31 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed Yes | 8c | 11,877$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.63 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked No | 73c | 11,128$8,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 5c | 10,281$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…0fdabacked Yes | 27c | 9,911$2,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,709.02 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 12c | 9,409$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.57 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 25c | 9,338$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.91 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x965a…c69cbacked Yes | 5c | 8,780$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked Yes | 12c | 8,400$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.08 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 17c | 8,356$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.69 | 152 | 34.2%52 W · 100 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 75c | 8,257$6,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.87 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 3c | 8,245$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.2 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…adf8backed Yes | 11c | 8,080$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.98 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 7c | 7,903$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.03 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a29…c880backed Yes | 15c | 7,900$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…f6d7backed Yes | 4c | 7,762$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.12 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed No | 70c | 7,551$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,248.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…b380backed Yes | 3c | 7,493$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -73%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe111…0473backed Yes | 10c | 7,291$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed Yes | 35c | 7,156$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.92 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b0…2354backed Yes | 24c | 7,010$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.12 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 21c | 7,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…f843backed Yes | 5c | 7,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 52c | 6,858$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,547.74 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 29c | 6,857$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.03 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 4c | 6,696$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.03 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Yes | 29c | 6,457$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…9f97backed Yes | 25c | 6,400$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…190cbacked Yes | 12c | 6,299$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.26 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 25c | 6,146$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e02…b56dbacked Yes | 9c | 6,122$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.07 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed No | 49c | 6,106$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +59%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…5f1cbacked Yes | 21c | 5,890$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.96 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,863$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 243 | 8.2%20 W · 223 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373e…a4c0backed Yes | 2c | 5,822$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…250abacked Yes | 27c | 5,693$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…f705backed Yes | 32c | 5,646$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.51 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x020b…d13cbacked No | 69c | 5,635$3,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1baf…3ae9backed Yes | 11c | 5,555$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.84 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…96f1backed Yes | 28c | 5,449$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6df…cfa0backed Yes | 47c | 5,337$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.78 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 19c | 5,200$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…0126backed Yes | 39c | 5,176$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 6c | 5,067$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.84 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…f397backed Yes | 44c | 5,000$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…835dbacked No | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1099…903cbacked Yes | 17c | 4,948$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 0c | 4,628$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 13c | 4,594$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.23 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c7…1a7dbacked Yes | 10c | 4,511$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff20…2efcbacked No | 67c | 4,498$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 17c | 4,480$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.44 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771f…1222backed Yes | 5c | 4,271$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 13cpaid | +341.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cce6backed Yes | 30c | 4,140$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…a016backed Yes | 6c | 4,042$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a50…bc82backed Yes | 3c | 3,948$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36fd…c834backed No | 64c | 3,860$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.41 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 4c | 3,792$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.13 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 80c | 3,786$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.93 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 28c | 3,722$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.68 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd39b…9343backed Yes | 9c | 3,671$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 67c | 3,665$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.42 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7967…f4a0backed No | 48c | 3,665$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.77 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed No | 78c | 3,555$2,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.66 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 3,483$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 3,455$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.22 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 79c | 3,431$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.49 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab94…3634backed Yes | 10c | 3,410$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d7…a106backed Yes | 29c | 3,409$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.