Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbab21ba7168ad7d6d98600d40d3d69f2fda42fc10863d00e006a31b990b22065

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 20, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,759,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,569,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,759,914 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 693 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcd21…3c10backed Yes	0c	156,452$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.59	80	21.3%17 W · 63 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bf…4a80backed Yes	0c	117,653$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.45	43	14%6 W · 37 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…5569backed Yes	0c	72,093$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaab0…2132backed Yes	1c	63,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…d6fcbacked Yes	0c	62,596$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.06	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	25cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…b251backed Yes	0c	53,721$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	23cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58de…608abacked Yes	0c	53,199$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8401…156ebacked Yes	0c	51,900$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	17cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d4…260ebacked Yes	0c	41,120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.04	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	7c	32,305$2,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,315.65	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x441c…8c8abacked Yes	0c	32,187$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.46	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…0b5abacked Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x285a…fd1bbacked Yes	0c	24,488$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.49	136	0.7%1 W · 135 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+635.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49e9…7173backed Yes	0c	24,427$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes	0c	24,082$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.08	129	0.8%1 W · 128 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+675.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaf4…a4debacked Yes	0c	23,365$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.36	24	0%0 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	20,642$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828.57	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…2beabacked Yes	9c	20,499$1,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,876	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8221…9207backed Yes	0c	20,128$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	50	28%14 W · 36 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	5c	19,621$926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$926.15	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa59e…2b99backed Yes	0c	17,210$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd86b…1924backed Yes	2c	15,986$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.26	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes	3c	14,887$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.7	68	19.1%13 W · 55 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6275…b7adbacked Yes	0c	14,245$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.26	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5c…8880backed Yes	1c	12,791$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.82	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	14cpaid	-88.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd766…01c7backed Yes	0c	12,738$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+198.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20fe…7968backed Yes	0c	12,518$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	88	19.3%17 W · 71 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	10c	12,500$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5764…dfd8backed Yes	0c	12,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Yes	0c	12,455$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c94…9768backed Yes	17c	11,942$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8919…97b1backed Yes	0c	11,749$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad76…a2c8backed Yes	0c	10,731$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	6c	10,375$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.79	123	8.1%10 W · 113 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa526…ee0dbacked Yes	10c	10,264$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004.56	46	13%6 W · 40 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	15c	10,116$1,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,527.23	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a0d…1a09backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+22%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5677…d74bbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e24…5797backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7214…721abacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe0e…45debacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07ac…da19backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7fff…2c36backed Yes	1c	9,556$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.13	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc018…b251backed Yes	0c	9,450$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.51	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	11cpaid	+344.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f6d…b4c7backed No	78c	9,430$7,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,093.38	124	29.8%37 W · 87 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc59d…2debbacked Yes	0c	9,360$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	6c	8,815$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.69	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d6…1bb8backed Yes	7c	8,795$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.63	61	18%11 W · 50 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	6c	8,504$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.55	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4dc…cc18backed Yes	0c	8,136$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ef…ee50backed Yes	0c	8,016$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	7,891$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.25	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2935…96f7backed Yes	4c	7,574$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.52	64	1.6%1 W · 63 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-85.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	7c	7,290$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.68	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e69…2144backed Yes	0c	7,154$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecc7…01e0backed Yes	0c	6,969$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	28	3.6%1 W · 27 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	13cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf40…bba8backed Yes	0c	6,850$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.85	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8acf…22e4backed Yes	30c	6,734$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+11%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Yes	12c	6,715$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$787.64	180	9.4%17 W · 163 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	12c	6,708$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782.22	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2e…88f5backed Yes	1c	6,688$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.1	108	22.2%24 W · 84 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfe5e…8054backed Yes	8c	6,408$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.95	92	22.8%21 W · 71 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+151.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	14c	6,364$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.04	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee7…645bbacked Yes	0c	6,251$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	14c	6,113$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$825.45	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00b6…e4e1backed Yes	1c	6,100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.5	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77e3…06a9backed Yes	2c	6,032$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf1…1695backed Yes	3c	6,025$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.93	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d44…7ba3backed Yes	10c	6,022$622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.01	57	14%8 W · 49 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	6c	5,867$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.8	211	4.7%10 W · 201 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	6c	5,808$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.09	259	5.4%14 W · 245 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	12c	5,782$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.78	788	11.5%91 W · 697 L	-33.7wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc187…c3d2backed Yes	0c	5,702$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	15c	5,570$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.26	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf545…305bbacked Yes	2c	5,529$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e01…e68ebacked Yes	0c	5,480$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes	6c	5,446$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.54	439	33%145 W · 294 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1da3…24d6backed Yes	9c	5,388$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.33	76	13.2%10 W · 66 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2090…2246backed Yes	0c	5,365$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.99	30	10%3 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b8…5a0fbacked Yes	13c	5,291$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$710.96	601	27.3%164 W · 437 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes	4c	5,220$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.63	796	6.5%52 W · 744 L	+9.3wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+33.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed Yes	0c	5,133$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	108	24.1%26 W · 82 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22c2…85a2backed Yes	0c	5,038$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda6…1aa5backed Yes	0c	5,006$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x037b…47f4backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	416	5.3%22 W · 394 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+158.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01a4…4967backed No	77c	4,804$3,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.86	160	56.9%91 W · 69 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ba2…4866backed Yes	0c	4,536$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebd…95f3backed Yes	9c	4,500$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca1…6c71backed Yes	0c	4,216$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb29a…7199backed Yes	24c	4,114$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes	9c	4,059$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.02	238	19.3%46 W · 192 L	-6.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	11c	4,023$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.65	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	16c	4,000$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.74	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	17c	4,000$664 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.54	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	6c	4,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	4,000$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eaf…e6d5backed Yes	8c	3,978$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.2	95	5.3%5 W · 90 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f3…0a98backed Yes	9c	3,822$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.37	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	+5.9wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec84…b588backed Yes	0c	3,790$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event