Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41434a1fecb0eebffb4f3f9d881c1e10a953549c0f1027c49f2d45912107f27c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $446,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $485,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $446,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed No | 19c | 21,528$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,129.53 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 30c | 16,967$5,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,104.08 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 79c | 13,584$10,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,906.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 72c | 11,713$8,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,273.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 66c | 10,852$7,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.95 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 60c | 9,041$5,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,602.08 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 11c | 7,471$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.89 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 39c | 7,092$2,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…9db4backed Yes | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 61c | 4,561$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.89 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 70c | 4,559$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07a…4d19backed Yes | 68c | 4,425$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 54c | 4,183$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,937.14 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Yes | 65c | 4,060$2,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.84 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 16c | 3,586$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.85 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 79c | 3,552$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 35c | 3,495$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.44 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 58c | 3,470$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.15 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked No | 6c | 3,091$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155f…660ebacked Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yes | 73c | 2,893$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 57c | 2,874$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.78 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed Yes | 59c | 2,728$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.28 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…1015backed Yes | 73c | 2,724$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.36 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 2,686$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 41c | 2,453$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.7 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 71c | 2,371$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.17 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 29c | 2,201$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.41 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 45c | 2,011$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.87 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 37c | 1,965$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.12 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 75c | 1,946$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.75 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…aa2cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,914$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 31c | 1,843$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.43 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…0e46backed Yes | 43c | 1,809$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.67 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,789$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.74 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 26c | 1,464$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…e972backed Yes | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed Yes | 60c | 1,356$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 38c | 1,333$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.56 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…9d4abacked No | 34c | 1,300$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 78c | 1,263$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…f700backed Yes | 73c | 1,096$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe570…084ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,056$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 40c | 1,025$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 1,005$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…1971backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…b308backed No | 7c | 972.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 24c | 944.12$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3106…d672backed Yes | 71c | 916.21$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…202fbacked Yes | 76c | 915.06$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 75c | 836.1$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.56 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 32c | 825.43$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.98 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 48c | 810.86$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.48 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 78c | 800$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 36c | 799.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 79c | 786.21$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…2573backed Yes | 71c | 762.59$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.33 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ab…e4d0backed No | 3c | 755.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa310…4c56backed Yes | 62c | 752.89$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…377fbacked Yes | 57c | 749.99$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…79c8backed Yes | 37c | 730$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.51 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b4…efc6backed Yes | 74c | 719.99$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 700$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 24c | 690.51$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.79 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Yes | 54c | 666$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked Yes | 35c | 616.79$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 41c | 587.9$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.48 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f2…57b2backed Yes | 70c | 576.96$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.54 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 47c | 573.16$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.79 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 2c | 570.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…0299backed No | 30c | 556.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 79c | 555$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.55 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7513…110dbacked No | 33c | 553$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053f…5f6dbacked Yes | 75c | 545$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…c164backed No | 27c | 530$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…3893backed Yes | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 63c | 512$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.15 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…c80fbacked No | 34c | 505.02$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa47b…a496backed Yes | 80c | 500.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +297.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Yes | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 45c | 499.73$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 45c | 493.59$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.07 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…5884backed Yes | 46c | 490.94$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 5c | 487.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 58 | 5.2%3 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 27c | 484.15$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked No | 42c | 482$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 73c | 465.74$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.57 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…672bbacked Yes | 59c | 464.26$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.29 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7188…e9c0backed No | 5c | 463.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d6…3c6ebacked Yes | 40c | 463.49$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…e38bbacked Yes | 59c | 440.06$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…a17ebacked Yes | 45c | 429.69$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…08bfbacked No | 7c | 422.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…7e78backed No | 30c | 414.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 6c | 406.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 77c | 403.81$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…36f6backed No | 5c | 402.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed No | 34c | 400.76$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?this page
- Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?No won
- Will Clinton Bliss win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?No won
- Will Joe Mallahan win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.