Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x711958fe6eb4583b75afc501236836b20a3e17b95d69efcec047cc8ce5060d6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $577,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $541,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe756…e006backed Yes | 33c | 64,121$20,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,887.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Yes | 20c | 16,693$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.96 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed No | 78c | 16,295$12,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,587.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 28c | 15,568$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356.43 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 21c | 13,686$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,885.74 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 40c | 13,446$5,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,433.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…84bfbacked Yes | 40c | 10,000$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e3…c80fbacked Yes | 42c | 7,962$3,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.23 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…ded6backed Yes | 2c | 7,180$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 58c | 7,150$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6287…7d00backed Yes | 2c | 7,130$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…5a1abacked Yes | 5c | 7,101$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3660…d942backed Yes | 1c | 7,100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x744b…4d9abacked Yes | 1c | 7,070$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 21c | 7,026$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f2c0backed Yes | 22c | 6,468$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes | 33c | 6,155$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…7e78backed Yes | 19c | 6,146$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 47c | 6,142$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.69 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 44c | 5,935$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.04 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 66c | 5,599$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.69 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x592c…b308backed Yes | 6c | 5,489$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…ac11backed Yes | 28c | 5,219$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 20c | 5,111$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed Yes | 2c | 4,748$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -79%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 13c | 4,696$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 61c | 4,555$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.9 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed Yes | 44c | 4,125$1,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 36c | 4,096$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,630.88 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d31…cb04backed Yes | 24c | 4,078$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…1015backed Yes | 37c | 3,900$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 8c | 3,750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +271.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,693$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 28c | 3,631$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.24 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 46c | 3,584$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.36 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 3,477$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 4c | 3,355$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 22c | 3,337$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.88 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 55c | 3,219$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.58 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2834…3cefbacked Yes | 23c | 3,116$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 72c | 2,550$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.46 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Yes | 22c | 2,536$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 19c | 2,400$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…b2d7backed Yes | 49c | 2,306$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 41c | 2,287$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.23 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed Yes | 44c | 2,280$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 20c | 2,168$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.58 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 62c | 2,025$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.92 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 58c | 1,795$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.86 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,789$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.06 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc7…bb10backed Yes | 43c | 1,773$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…0299backed No | 57c | 1,653$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…e972backed Yes | 63c | 1,580$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2a…4ab7backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Yes | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…aa2cbacked No | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 62c | 1,500$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 67c | 1,482$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 60c | 1,472$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.59 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…9fe0backed Yes | 28c | 1,385$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…1ad1backed Yes | 14c | 1,383$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…2573backed Yes | 20c | 1,379$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Yes | 50c | 1,300$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614e…4f1bbacked No | 55c | 1,271$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 72c | 1,233$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.66 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…9e94backed Yes | 12c | 1,221$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 61c | 1,217$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.47 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 29c | 1,200$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed9e…f5f1backed Yes | 31c | 1,200$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed Yes | 37c | 1,140$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…5884backed Yes | 40c | 1,134$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…3e66backed Yes | 43c | 1,127$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcc…0d0abacked Yes | 48c | 1,100$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 26c | 1,075$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.82 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 38c | 1,009$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.16 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Yes | 50c | 1,006$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7bd…8c48backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…61bcbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…4da4backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed No | 79c | 999.78$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 29c | 945.99$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…74b1backed Yes | 70c | 937.15$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc9…2c38backed Yes | 40c | 916.8$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb4…d00fbacked Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…3c5fbacked Yes | 31c | 896.73$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed No | 65c | 893.78$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.37 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…0e8cbacked Yes | 61c | 820.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9792…9212backed Yes | 6c | 769.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…1971backed Yes | 23c | 749.2$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…672bbacked No | 61c | 701$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e0a3backed Yes | 60c | 678$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.61 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed No | 69c | 659.1$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.32 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5af9…1f82backed Yes | 35c | 647.84$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 64c | 647.42$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe570…084ebacked No | 73c | 646.26$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ad…f700backed Yes | 67c | 643.66$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?this page
- Will Clinton Bliss win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?No won
- Will Joe Mallahan win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?No won
- Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.