TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Chargers vs. Jaguars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jaguarsof Chargers, Jaguars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,376,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,393,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,376,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Jaguars41c201,875$82,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118,895.5186547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Chargers43c134,575$58,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,022.6347348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Chargers57c87,386$49,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,847.9410333%34 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Jaguars43c84,261$36,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,029.0416836.9%62 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Chargers57c80,000$45,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,599.9718156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Chargers24c70,577$16,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,668.3319235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Chargers60c65,000$39,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,00016545.5%75 W · 90 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jaguars63c50,427$31,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,780.7573651.2%377 W · 359 L+25.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Jaguars42c50,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,999.9124957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Jaguars43c42,000$18,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,939.995236.5%19 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Jaguars42c42,000$17,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,359.9919645.4%89 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Jaguars43c40,000$17,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,80010026%26 W · 74 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jaguars72c39,912$28,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,331.4375852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Chargers58c36,000$20,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,88024652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Jaguars42c35,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,299.99359.1%55 W · 38 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4ec…2493backed Jaguars43c34,884$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,883.721118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-52.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Chargers34c30,789$10,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,601.6614438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Chargers57c28,511$16,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,222.4112744.9%57 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Chargers0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Chargers56c21,000$11,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,83030743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Jaguars40c20,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,0003268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Chargers59c20,000$11,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,80012144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Chargers60c20,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,0008946.1%41 W · 48 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Jaguars77c20,000$15,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,60014349%70 W · 73 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Jaguars41c18,316$7,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,889.8411649.1%57 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Chargers58c17,222$9,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,988.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Jaguars44c15,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,40035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Chargers17c15,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5505446.3%25 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed Jaguars41c14,492$5,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,550.1817647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Chargers52c13,476$7,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,030.7647738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e8…2867backed Chargers2c13,263$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3228910.1%9 W · 80 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Chargers58c11,811$6,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,850.384365.1%28 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chargers29c11,085$3,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,164.1131543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb354…32a6backed Chargers0c11,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d1c…f13cbacked Chargers55c10,818$5,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,989.583043.3%13 W · 17 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Chargers39c10,570$4,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,069.3768446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Chargers59c10,220$6,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,019.5819551.3%100 W · 95 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Chargers57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Chargers59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,900837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Chargers57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.9924351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Chargers33c9,413$3,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,085.353748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Chargers58c8,621$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005464.8%35 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Chargers58c8,487$4,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9223351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Chargers58c8,190$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,750.214641.8%61 W · 85 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chargers57c8,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,56083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Chargers56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4803056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Jaguars40c7,892$3,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,718.7914951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Chargers57c7,824$4,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,459.424056.7%136 W · 104 L+19.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Chargers57c7,500$4,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,27524053.8%129 W · 111 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Chargers57c7,500$4,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,27514450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Chargers53c7,436$3,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,94160049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Chargers57c7,434$4,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,230.6310061%61 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Jaguars40c7,395$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,437.0617348%83 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9146…5f30backed Chargers57c7,000$4,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,009.982528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-47.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Chargers1c6,871$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.37980%0 W · 98 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Chargers58c6,860$3,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,960.6127454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Jaguars48c6,689$3,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.998532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x530c…3453backed Jaguars40c6,685$2,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x841c…38fabacked Chargers60c6,685$4,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,01110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Chargers60c6,646$3,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,987.64940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chargers29c6,507$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.1250242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Chargers9c6,017$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.5923244.4%103 W · 129 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed Chargers59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.94134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-35.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Chargers0c5,473$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.955679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca91…978cbacked Chargers58c5,438$3,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,154837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Chargers60c5,150$3,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,066.853348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Jaguars50c5,000$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,513.8918044.4%80 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Chargers60c5,000$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0204042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…f0cabacked Chargers60c4,638$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7832638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Jaguars43c4,535$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,584.885549.1%27 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c9…d567backed Chargers3c4,400$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.28175.9%1 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick20cpaid-77.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Chargers23c4,348$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011252.7%59 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jaguars76c4,005$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.3227348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Chargers60c4,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4004330.2%13 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jaguars40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd039…2532backed Jaguars42c3,750$1,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.57732.5%25 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Chargers18c3,618$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jaguars60c3,509$2,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.1516254.9%89 W · 73 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a7f…3fa4backed Chargers61c3,463$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Chargers0c3,328$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.83128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick19cpaid-87.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Chargers1c3,300$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.951013%3 W · 98 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Chargers57c3,181$1,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,812.221,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Chargers5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2968…ce4cbacked Chargers6c2,994$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1792817.9%5 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec0…f7aabacked Chargers27c2,945$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.854257.1%24 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+29%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Chargers57c2,807$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6005248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jaguars64c2,722$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.3131056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jaguars61c2,687$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.3231848.1%153 W · 165 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6790backed Chargers58c2,586$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008247.6%39 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Jaguars43c2,495$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,422.1514945.6%68 W · 81 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Chargers43c2,274$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.7620039.5%79 W · 121 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Chargers1c2,222$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.224311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb49f…12e6backed Chargers57c2,194$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+77.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Chargers59c2,145$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.8332050.9%163 W · 157 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Chargers58c2,089$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.8934652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Chargers23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46017144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2e…2f0cbacked Chargers60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6700…105bbacked Chargers60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Jaguars43c1,998$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.85119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick37cpaid-78.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c00…4acabacked Jaguars41c1,976$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.